Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers Expert Game 4 Picks Against the Spread 5/5/2019

Sunday, May 5, 2019

Wells Fargo Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Toronto Raptors head to Wells Fargo Center on Sunday where they'll take on Ben Simmons and the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Philly took a 2-1 series lead with a convincing 116-95 win in Game 3. Joel Embiid looked more like himself, putting up 33 points, 10 boards, and 3 dimes for the 76ers. Philadelphia opens as 1.5-point favorites. The total is 215. The Raptors (58-24, 1st in the Atlantic Division) cover the spread 46% of the time, going 41-48-1 for the year. The 76ers (51-31, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) have an ATS mark of 44-46-0, so they cover the spread 49% of the time. As the favorite, Philadelphia is covering the spread 49% of the time, while Toronto covered 60% of the time as an underdog for the year. The 76ers have been ok for NBA wagerers at home, going 24-21-0 ATS.

Valuable Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

The Toronto Raptors are 42-46-2 against the spread

The Toronto Raptors are 46-42-0 against the over/under

Important Philadelphia 76ers Betting Trends

The Philadelphia 76ers are 44-46-0 against the spread

The Philadelphia 76ers are 44-45-0 against the over/under

Key Toronto Raptors Injuries

05/02/19 PG Jeremy Lin Back is questionable Sunday vs Philadelphia
04/12/19 SF OG Anunoby Appendectomy is out indefinitely

Key Philadelphia 76ers Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Kyle Lowry comes into this contest averaging 14.2 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 8.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 83%. Marc Gasol averages 13.6 points per game in 30.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.4 assists per contest and 7.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 76%.

Player Spotlight

Ben Simmons averages 16.9 points per game while playing 34.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 8.8 rebounds per game and has 7.7 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is at 60%. Tobias Harris averages 20.0 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.9 rebounds per contest and 2.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 87%.

Useful Team Statistics

Toronto averages 114.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 5th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 6th in the league. They average 45.2 rebounds per game and 25.4 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 15th with 14.0 per game. The Raptors allow 108.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 9th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 5th and 8th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.8 rebounds a game which ranks 13th and they give up 24.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 21st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Philadelphia is 4th in the league with 115.2 points per game this year. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 2.7. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They are 4th in the league in rebounding with 47.8 boards per game, and 4th in assists per contest with 26.9. The 76ers are 6th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The 76ers surrender 112.5 points per contest, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 5th with 23.4 assists allowed per contest and 4th with 43.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The 76ers are 4th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.7 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Raptors are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.1, and their defensive rating of 107.1 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 14th in the league with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 3rd. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league. Toronto is 14th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 27th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Philadelphia is 7th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 24th in the NBA. The 76ers are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 110, and their offensive rating of 112.6 is ranked 15th. They are 8th in the NBA in pace with 101.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 8th. As a unit they are 6th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Raptors/76ers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Philadelphia -1.5

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