Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors Expert NBA Picks 6/7/2019

Friday, June 7, 2019

Oracle Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Stephen Curry and the Golden State Warriors host the Toronto Raptors at Oracle Arena on Friday in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. The Raptors took advantage of the Warriors missing both Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson in Game 3, winning 123-109. Kawhi Leonard led the Raps with 30 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists. The odds on Game 4 have Golden State as 5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 216.

The Raptors have been decent for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 49-53-1 ATS. Golden State is covering 43.4% of the time, going 43-56-2 against the spread. The Warriors have been a bad choice for NBA wagerers as a favorite, going 36-50-2 ATS. Toronto is covering 61.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 13-8-0 against the spread.

Valuable Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

The Raptors have been a solid Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 54-48-1.

The Raptors are covering 46.9% of the time on the road, having gone 23-26-1 ATS.

Important Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

Golden State is covering 38.8% of the time at Oracle Arena, going 19-30-1 against the spread.

The Warriors have been a decent Under play for over/under bettors, having gone 50-51-0.

Key Toronto Raptors Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

6/6/2019 Klay Thompson SG Hamstring Game Time Decision
6/4/2019 Kevon Looney C Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
6/4/2019 Kevin Durant SF Calf Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Kawhi Leonard comes into this game averaging 26.6 points per contest while playing 34.0 minutes per night this year. He grabs 7.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is 85%. Pascal Siakam averages 16.9 points per contest in 31.9 minutes per game. He averages 3.1 assists per game and 6.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 55% for the season while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Stephen Curry scores 27.3 points per contest while playing 33.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.3 rebounds per contest and has 5.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 92%. Andre Iguodala averages 5.7 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 23.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.7 rebounds per game and has 3.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is 58%.

Useful Team Statistics

Toronto averages 114.4 points per contest, which is 8th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 6.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 5th. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 45.2 boards per contest and 25.4 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 13th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 15th with 14.0 per game. The Raptors allow 108.4 points per contest, which is 9th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 5th and 8th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 44.8 rebounds a game which ranks 13th, and they allow 24.5 assists per game which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 21st in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State is 2nd in the NBA with 117.7 points per contest this season. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 49%, while their average scoring margin is 6.46. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 3rd in the league. They are 11th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.2 boards per contest and 1st in assists per game with 29.4. The Warriors are 10th in turnovers per contest with 14.3. The Warriors give up 111.2 points per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 3rd and 11th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 24.3 dimes allowed per game and 10th with 44.3 boards surrendered per contest. The Warriors are 12th in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Raptors are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.1, and their defensive rating of 107.1 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 14th in the league with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 3rd. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league. Toronto is 14th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 27th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 13th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 28th in the league. The Warriors are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 115.9, and their defensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 10th in the league with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 57% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Raptors/Warriors NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Toronto +5

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