Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 1/27/2019

Sunday, January 27, 2019

American Airlines Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Toronto Raptors travel to American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday, January 27, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto as 4 point favorites.

The Raptors have a record of 36-15. They are 1st in the Atlantic Division. They have a point differential of 5.5 as they average 113.9 points per game while giving up 108.5 per contest. The Mavericks have an overall mark of 22-26. They currently are 3rd in the Southwest Division. They total 109.4 points per contest and give up 109.3, which is a point differential of 0.1.

Valuable Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

The Toronto Raptors are 23-26-1 against the spread

The Toronto Raptors are 28-22-0 against the over/under

Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 28-19-0 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 21-25-0 against the over/under

Key Toronto Raptors Injuries

12/14/18 C Jonas Valanciunas Thumb is out 4-6 weeks
01/26/19 G Danny Green Hand injured last game, is questionable Sunday vs Dallas

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/12/19 PG J.J. Barea Achilles is out for season

Player Spotlight

Kyle Lowry comes into this contest averaging 14.1 points per game while playing 34.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 9.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Kawhi Leonard averages 27.8 points per game in 35.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.2 assists per contest and 7.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 86%.

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic averages 20.2 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.8 rebounds per game and has 5.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 74%. Harrison Barnes averages 17.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.1 rebounds per contest and 1.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Toronto averages 113.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.5 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 8th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 20th in the league. They average 45.0 rebounds per game and 24.5 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 21st with 13.3 per game. The Raptors allow 108.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 9th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 5th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.8 rebounds a game which ranks 17th and they give up 24.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 14.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 21st in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 20th in the league with 109.4 points per game this year. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 0.1. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They are 11th in the league in rebounding with 46.0 boards per game, and 24th in assists per contest with 22.6. The Mavericks are 6th in turnovers per game with 14.9. The Mavericks surrender 109.3 points per contest, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 9th in those defensive statistics. They rank 17th with 24.4 assists allowed per contest and 7th with 43.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 13th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Raptors are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 108.1, and their offensive rating of 113.6 is ranked 7th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 99.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 5th. As a unit they are 7th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA. Toronto is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 24th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 5th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 18th in the NBA. The Mavericks are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 109.6, and their offensive rating of 109.7 is ranked 13th. They are 17th in the NBA in pace with 99.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 18th. As a unit they are 16th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Raptors/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +4

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