San Antonio Spurs at Denver Nuggets Game 5 Picks & Predictions 4/23/2019

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The San Antonio Spurs travel to Pepsi Center on Tuesday where they'll meet Gary Harris and the Denver Nuggets in Game 5 of their series. The Nuggets won Game 4 on Saturday 117-103 to tie the series at 2-2. Denver is 5.5-point favorites. The total is 212. The Spurs (48-34, 2nd in the Southwest Division) are covering the spread 53% of the time, having gone 45-40-1 on the year. The Nuggets (54-28, 1st in the Northwest Division) have an ATS mark of 44-42-0, so they are covering the spread 51% of the time. As a favorite, Denver covers the spread 52% of the time, while San Antonio has covered 57% as an underdog on the year.

Valuable San Antonio Spurs Betting Trends

The San Antonio Spurs are 45-40-1 against the spread

The San Antonio Spurs are 46-40-0 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 44-42-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 38-48-0 against the over/under

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

10/08/18 G Dejounte Murray ACL is out for season

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Derrick White averages 9.9 points per game in 25.8 minutes per contest. He averages 3.9 assists per contest and 3.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 48% for the year while his free throw percentage is 77%. Jakob Poeltl comes into this contest averaging 5.5 points per game while playing 16.5 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 65% while his free throw percentage is at 53%.

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray averages 18.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.2 rebounds per contest and 4.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 85%. Gary Harris averages 12.9 points per game while playing 28.8 minutes per contest. He grabs 2.8 rebounds per game and has 2.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Spurs allow 110.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 12th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 18th and 19th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.9 rebounds a game which ranks 7th, and they give up 24.7 assists per contest which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 12.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 1st in the league. San Antonio averages 111.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 18th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 1.7 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 2nd. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 1st in the league. They average 44.7 rebounds per game and 24.5 assists per contest, which ranks them 21st and 16th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 30th with 12.1 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets surrender 106.7 points per contest, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.6 assists allowed per contest, and 1st with 42.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 14th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game. Denver is 20th in the league with 110.7 points per game this year. They are 13th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.0. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 20th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.4 boards per game and 2nd in assists per contest with 27.4. The Nuggets are 23rd in turnovers per game with 13.4.

Advanced Statistics

The Spurs are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 111.2, and their offensive rating of 112.9 is ranked 19th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 98.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 7th. As a unit they are 7th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA. San Antonio is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 11th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 24th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA. The Nuggets are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 108.9, and their offensive rating of 113 is ranked 10th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 97.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 14th. As a unit they are 14th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Spurs/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Denver -5.5

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