Sacramento Kings vs. San Antonio Spurs - 12/6/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Friday, December 6, 2019

Location: AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - San Antonio

Odds/Point Spread: San Antonio -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 222

AT&T Center is the site where DeMar DeRozan and the San Antonio Spurs (8-14, 3rd in the Southwest Division) will take on the Sacramento Kings (8-12, 4th in the Pacific Division) on Friday. Sacramento opens this matchup as 1.5 point underdogs. The total opens at 222.

The Kings are covering the spread 60.0% of the time, having gone 12-8-0 ATS. San Antonio is covering 27.3% of the time, going 6-16-0 against the spread.

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

12/4/2019 Bogdan Bogdanovic SG Knee Game Time Decision
12/4/2019 III Marvin Bagley III PF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Dec 8
12/2/2019 De'Aaron Fox PG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jan 1

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

12/3/2019 LaMarcus Aldridge PF Thigh Game Time Decision
12/3/2019 Chimezie Metu PF Foot Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield comes into this game averaging 20.9 points per contest while playing 34.1 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is 85%. Harrison Barnes averages 16.3 points per contest in 35.1 minutes per game. He averages 2.1 assists per game and 4.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

DeMar DeRozan scores 21.7 points per contest while playing 34.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.5 rebounds per contest and has 4.7 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Bryn Forbes averages 13.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 27.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 2.5 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 84%.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento averages 104.9 points per contest, which is 26th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -3.9 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 20th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 20th in the NBA. They average 41.9 boards per contest and 22.9 assists per game, which ranks them 27th and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 10th with 15.8 per game. The Kings allow 108.8 points per contest, which is 13th in the NBA. They also surrender a 48% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 26th and 16th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.1 rebounds a game which ranks 4th, and they allow 23.4 assists per game which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 15.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

San Antonio is 13th in the NBA with 112.0 points per contest this season. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -4. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 18th in the league. They are 12th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.8 boards per contest and 13th in assists per game with 24.5. The Spurs are 28th in turnovers per contest with 13.6. The Spurs give up 116.0 points per game, which ranks them 26th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 24th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 27th with 26.0 dimes allowed per game and 10th with 45.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Spurs are 2nd in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 20th in the league in defensive rating with 110.8, and their offensive rating of 106.9 is ranked 20th. They are 30th in the NBA in pace with 97.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 19th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA. Sacramento is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 7th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 27th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 9th in the NBA. The Spurs are 13th in the league in defensive rating with 113.8, and their offensive rating of 109.8 is ranked 26th. They are 13th in the NBA in pace with 101 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 20th. As a unit they are 18th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Sacramento -1.5

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