Sacramento Kings vs. Denver Nuggets - 12/29/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Sunday, December 29, 2019

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Pepsi Center is the venue where Jamal Murray and the Denver Nuggets (21-9, 1st in the Northwest Division) will take on the Sacramento Kings (12-19, 3rd in the Pacific Division) on Sunday. Sacramento opens this contest as 5.5 point dogs. The over/under is set at 220.

The Kings are covering the spread 51.6% of the time, having gone 16-15-0 ATS. Denver covers the spread 44.4% of the time, going 12-15-3 against the spread.

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

12/28/2019 DaQuan Jeffries SG Undisclosed Game Time Decision
12/27/2019 De'Aaron Fox PG Back Game Time Decision
12/27/2019 III Marvin Bagley III PF Foot Expected to be out until at least Dec 29

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

12/27/2019 Paul Millsap PF Knee Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Harrison Barnes averages 15.5 points per contest in 35.3 minutes per game this year. He averages 2.3 assists per game and 5.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 82%. Buddy Hield comes into this game averaging 20.2 points per contest while playing 34.0 minutes per night. He grabs 5.0 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is 84%.

Player Spotlight

Nikola Jokic averages 17.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 31.3 minutes per game. He also hauls in 10.0 rebounds per game and dishes 6.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 82%. Jamal Murray scores 17.5 points per contest while playing 31.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.3 rebounds per contest and has 4.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 90%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Kings allow 107.9 points per contest which is 13th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 21st and 16th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 43.2 rebounds a game which ranks 5th, and they allow 24.1 assists per game which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 15.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Sacramento averages 105.0 points per contest, which is 26th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -2.9 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 20th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 21st in the NBA. They average 42.6 boards per contest and 22.3 assists per game, which ranks them 26th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 14th with 15.4 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets give up 102.5 points per game, which ranks them 1st in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 23.5 dimes allowed per game and 8th with 44.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Nuggets are 12th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.8 per contest. Denver is 23rd in the NBA with 107.5 points per contest this season. They are 16th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 5.1. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 14th in the league. They are 14th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.6 boards per contest and 4th in assists per game with 26.6. The Nuggets are 24th in turnovers per contest with 14.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 23rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 107, and their defensive rating of 109.9 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 30th in the league with 96.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 21st. As a team they are 20th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league. Sacramento is 8th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 10th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 23rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 25th in the league. The Nuggets are 15th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.4, and their defensive rating of 104.2 is ranked 2nd. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 97.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 20th. As a team they are 22nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Denver -5.5 and over 220 total points

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