Sacramento Kings vs. Dallas Mavericks - 12/8/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Sunday, December 8, 2019

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - Dallas

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -6

Total/Over-Under: 218.5

Buddy Hield and the Sacramento Kings (8-13, 4th in the Pacific Division) head to American Airlines Center on Sunday where they'll meet the Dallas Mavericks (15-6, 1st in the Southwest Division). Sacramento opens this matchup as 6 point dogs. The O/U opens at 218.5.

The Kings are covering the spread 61.9% of the time, having gone 13-8-0 ATS. Dallas is covering 61.9% of the time, going 13-8-0 against the spread.

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

12/6/2019 III Marvin Bagley III PF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Dec 8
12/2/2019 De'Aaron Fox PG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jan 1

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

12/4/2019 Dwight Powell PF Arm Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield comes into this game averaging 21.0 points per contest while playing 34.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.9 rebounds per contest and distributes 2.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is 85%. Harrison Barnes averages 16.5 points per contest in 35.5 minutes per game. He averages 2.2 assists per game and 5.1 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Luka Doncic scores 30.3 points per contest while playing 33.7 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.1 rebounds per contest and has 9.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 82%. Kristaps Porzingis averages 16.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 30.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 8.9 rebounds per game and has 1.4 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 70%.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento averages 104.9 points per contest, which is 26th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -3.8 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 24th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 23rd in the NBA. They average 42.3 boards per contest and 22.7 assists per game, which ranks them 25th and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 12th with 15.7 per game. The Kings allow 108.6 points per contest, which is 13th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 24th and 15th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 5th, and they allow 23.4 assists per game which puts them in 11th place in the league. They force 15.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 4th in the NBA with 118.0 points per contest this season. They are 11th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 8.57. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 13th in the league. They are 4th in the NBA in rebounding with 47.8 boards per contest and 15th in assists per game with 24.3. The Mavericks are 30th in turnovers per contest with 12.9. The Mavericks give up 109.4 points per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 12th and 8th in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 23.1 dimes allowed per game and 20th with 45.9 boards surrendered per contest. The Mavericks are 1st in the league in forcing turnovers with 12.8 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 22nd in the league in defensive rating with 110.3, and their offensive rating of 106.5 is ranked 19th. They are 30th in the NBA in pace with 97.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 21st. As a unit they are 22nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA. Sacramento is 7th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 9th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 30th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 19th in the league. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 117.5, and their defensive rating of 108.9 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 19th in the league with 99.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 3rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 45% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Dallas -6

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