Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 11/25/2019

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

Date: Monday, November 25, 2019

Location: TD Garden in Boston, MA

TV: NBC Sports Boston

Odds/Point Spread: Boston -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Harrison Barnes and the Sacramento Kings (6-8, 4th in the Pacific Division) head to TD Garden on Monday where they'll take on the Boston Celtics (11-4, 1st in the Atlantic Division). Boston opens this game as 5.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 220.

The Kings cover 57.1% of the time, having gone 8-6-0 ATS. Boston covers the spread 69.2% of the time, going 9-4-2 against the spread.

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

11/23/2019 Cory Joseph PG Heel Game Time Decision
11/22/2019 Bogdan Bogdanovic SG Hamstring Game Time Decision
11/21/2019 Trevor Ariza SG Groin Expected to be out until at least Nov 30
11/20/2019 III Marvin Bagley III PF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Nov 30
11/12/2019 De'Aaron Fox PG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 20

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

11/23/2019 Romeo Langford SG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 10
11/22/2019 Kemba Walker PG Concussion Game Time Decision
11/11/2019 Gordon Hayward SF Hand Expected to be out until at least Dec 25

Player Spotlight

Harrison Barnes comes into this contest averaging 15.1 points per game while playing 34.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 80%. Buddy Hield averages 19.1 points per game in 31.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 4.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 89%.

Player Spotlight

Jayson Tatum averages 20.5 points per game while playing 34.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 7.0 rebounds per game and has 2.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 79%. Jaylen Brown averages 18.8 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.4 rebounds per contest and 2.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 73%.

Useful Team Statistics

Sacramento averages 105.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 27th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -4.5 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 20th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 10th in the league. They average 41.8 rebounds per game and 22.5 assists per game, which ranks them 28th and 24th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 10th with 16.4 per game. The Kings allow 109.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 14th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 24th and 16th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 41.9 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 23.4 assists per contest, which puts them in 12th place in the league. They force 15.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Boston is 14th in the league with 110.7 points per game this year. They are 24th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 6.9. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.7 boards per game, and 14th in assists per contest with 24.4. The Celtics are 30th in turnovers per game with 12.8. The Celtics surrender 103.8 points per contest, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 4th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 22.1 assists allowed per contest and 29th with 49.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Celtics are 23rd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.4 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Kings are 18th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.1, and their defensive rating of 111.7 is ranked 21st. In terms of pace they are 29th in the league with 98 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 17th. As a team they are 18th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league. Sacramento is 8th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 6th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 30th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 27th in the league. The Celtics are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.5, and their defensive rating of 102.7 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 100.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 23rd. As a team they are 20th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Kings/Celtics NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Boston -5.5

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