Portland Blazers at Denver Nuggets Game 5 Predictions 5/7/2019

Tuesday, May 7, 2019

Pepsi Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Portland Blazers go to Pepsi Center on Tuesday where they'll meet Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets in Game 5 of their series. The Nuggets tied the series at 2-2 with a 116-112 win in Game 4. Nikola Jokic led Denver with 21 points, 12 rebounds, and 11 assists to record yet another triple double for the big man. Denver opens Game 5 as 4-point favorites. The over/under is 215. The Blazers (53-29, 2nd in the Northwest Division) cover the spread 54% of the time, going 49-41-1 for the season. The Nuggets (54-28, 1st in the Northwest Division) have an ATS mark of 48-45-0, so they cover the spread 52% of the time. As the favorite, Denver covers the spread 52% of the time, while Portland covered the spread 44% of the time as an underdog for the season. The Nuggets have been outstanding for basketball bettors at home, going 28-19-0 against the spread.

Valuable Portland Blazers Betting Trends

The Portland Blazers are 49-42-0 against the spread

The Portland Blazers are 48-42-0 against the over/under

Important Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

The Denver Nuggets are 48-45-0 against the spread

The Denver Nuggets are 42-51-0 against the over/under

Key Portland Blazers Injuries

03/26/19 C Jusuf Nurkic Ankle is out for season

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

CJ McCollum averages 21.0 points per game in 33.9 minutes per contest. He averages 3.0 assists per contest and 4.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 83%. Damian Lillard comes into this contest averaging 25.8 points per game while playing 35.5 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage is at 91%.

Player Spotlight

Paul Millsap averages 12.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 27.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.2 rebounds per contest and 2.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 73%. Nikola Jokic averages 20.1 points per game while playing 31.3 minutes per contest. He grabs 10.8 rebounds per game and has 7.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Blazers allow 110.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 14th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 13th and 20th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.8 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they give up 23.2 assists per contest which puts them in 3rd place in the league. They force 12.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in the league. Portland averages 114.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 12th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 9th in the league. They average 48.0 rebounds per game and 23.0 assists per contest, which ranks them 3rd and 25th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 20th with 13.8 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Nuggets surrender 106.7 points per contest, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 16th with 24.6 assists allowed per contest, and 1st with 42.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 14th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game. Denver is 20th in the league with 110.7 points per game this year. They are 13th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.0. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 20th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.4 boards per game and 2nd in assists per contest with 27.4. The Nuggets are 23rd in turnovers per game with 13.4.

Advanced Statistics

The Blazers are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 110.5, and their offensive rating of 114.7 is ranked 16th. They are 18th in the NBA in pace with 99.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 13th. As a unit they are 9th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 20th in the NBA. Portland is 20th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 19th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 24th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 17th in the NBA. The Nuggets are 6th in the league in defensive rating with 108.9, and their offensive rating of 113 is ranked 10th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 97.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 14th. As a unit they are 14th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 15th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Blazers/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Portland +4

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