Phoenix Suns at Miami Heat Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 2/25/2019

Monday, February 25, 2019

American Airlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Phoenix Suns travel to American Airlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Monday, February 25, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 9 point favorites.

The Suns have a record of 11-50. They are 5th in the Pacific Division. They have a point differential of -10.2 as they average 105.9 points per game while giving up 116.1 per contest. The Heat have an overall mark of 26-32. They currently are 3rd in the Southeast Division. They total 104.8 points per contest and give up 105.9, which is a point differential of -1.1.

Valuable Phoenix Suns Betting Trends

The Phoenix Suns are 25-35-0 against the spread

The Phoenix Suns are 27-33-0 against the over/under

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 29-27-1 against the spread

The Miami Heat are 28-28-0 against the over/under

Key Phoenix Suns Injuries

01/24/19 SF TJ Warren Ankle is out indefinitely

Key Miami Heat Injuries

02/23/19 F James Johnson Shoulder is questionable Monday vs Phoenix
02/23/19 SF Justise Winslow Knee is questionable Monday vs Phoenix
02/23/19 G Rodney McGruder Knee left last game, is questionable Monday vs Phoenix

Player Spotlight

Deandre Ayton comes into this contest averaging 16.4 points per game while playing 31.0 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 10.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 59% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 76%. Devin Booker averages 24.7 points per game in 34.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.7 assists per contest and 4.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Hassan Whiteside averages 12.6 points per game while playing 25.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 12.3 rebounds per game and has 0.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 55% and his free throw percentage is at 43%. Josh Richardson averages 17.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.5 rebounds per contest and 3.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

Phoenix averages 105.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -10.2 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 17th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 30th in the league. They average 40.1 rebounds per game and 23.9 assists per game, which ranks them 30th and 18th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 3rd with 15.8 per game. The Suns allow 116.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 28th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the arc, ranking them 29th and 27th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.4 rebounds a game which ranks 26th and they give up 26.0 assists per contest, which puts them in 27th place in the league. They force 15.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 25th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 27th in the league with 104.8 points per game this year. They are 26th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -1.1. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They are 9th in the league in rebounding with 46.3 boards per game, and 19th in assists per contest with 23.7. The Heat are 6th in turnovers per game with 15.2. The Heat surrender 105.9 points per contest, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 3rd and 21st in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 22.7 assists allowed per contest and 9th with 43.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 15th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Suns are 28th in the NBA in offensive rating with 104.6, and their defensive rating of 114.7 is ranked 29th. In terms of pace they are 14th in the league with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 24th. As a team they are 24th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 19th in the league. Phoenix is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 3rd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 5th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA. The Heat are 25th in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 106.5 is ranked 7th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 23rd. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Suns/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -9

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