Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat - 12/28/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, December 28, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -1

Total/Over-Under: 213

Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers (23-10, 2nd in the Atlantic Division) travel to American Airlines Arena on Saturday where they'll take on the Miami Heat (22-8, 1st in the Southeast Division). Philadelphia opens this matchup as 1 point dogs. The over/under is set at 213.

The 76ers cover the spread 50.0% of the time, having gone 15-15-3 ATS. Miami is covering 65.5% of the time, going 19-10-1 against the spread.

Key Philadelphia 76ers Injuries

12/22/2019 Matisse Thybulle SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jan 6

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/26/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Expected to be out until at least Dec 28

Player Spotlight

Tobias Harris averages 19.8 points per contest in 34.2 minutes per game this year. He averages 3.2 assists per game and 6.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% for the season while his free throw percentage is 79%. Joel Embiid comes into this game averaging 23.3 points per contest while playing 30.7 minutes per night. He grabs 12.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.4 points per game and he sees the court an average of 35.3 minutes per game. He also hauls in 6.5 rebounds per game and dishes 6.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 83%. Bam Adebayo scores 15.7 points per contest while playing 34.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.6 rebounds per contest and has 4.6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is at 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

The 76ers allow 105.0 points per contest which is 5th in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 15th and 12th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 40.1 rebounds a game which ranks 1st, and they allow 21.4 assists per game which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 14.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Philadelphia averages 110.1 points per contest, which is 17th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 5.1 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 3rd. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 5th in the NBA. They average 46.2 boards per contest and 26.7 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 11th with 15.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat give up 107.3 points per game, which ranks them 10th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 9th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 14th with 24.0 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 41.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 20th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.3 per contest. Miami is 9th in the NBA with 112.5 points per contest this season. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.2. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 1st in the league. They are 17th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.4 boards per contest and 9th in assists per game with 25.2. The Heat are 2nd in turnovers per contest with 16.8.

Advanced Statistics

The 76ers are 10th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.2, and their defensive rating of 105 is ranked 6th. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 7th. As a team they are 10th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 25th in the league. Philadelphia is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 18th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 19th in the league. The Heat are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.3, and their defensive rating of 106.2 is ranked 10th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 99.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Miami -1 and over 213 total points

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here