Orlando Magic vs. Milwaukee Bucks - 12/28/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks
Date: Saturday, December 28, 2019
Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Fox Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -12
Total/Over-Under: 219.5
Evan Fournier and the Orlando Magic (13-17, 2nd in the Southeast Division) travel to Fiserv Forum on Saturday where they'll meet the Milwaukee Bucks (27-5, 1st in the Central Division). Milwaukee opens this contest as 12 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 219.5.
The Magic cover the spread 42.9% of the time, having gone 12-16-2 ATS. Milwaukee covers the spread 56.2% of the time, going 18-14-0 against the spread.
Key Orlando Magic Injuries
12/23/2019 Michael Carter-Williams PG Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Dec 30
12/1/2019 Al-Farouq Aminu PF Knee Expected to be out until at least Feb 1
Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries
12/26/2019 Giannis Antetokounmpo PF Back Game Time Decision
12/14/2019 Eric Bledsoe PG Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Dec 30
Player Spotlight
Evan Fournier comes into this game averaging 19.2 points per contest while playing 30.7 minutes per night this year. He grabs 2.7 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.2 assists per game. His FG percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is 83%. Jonathan Isaac averages 12.4 points per contest in 30.5 minutes per game. He averages 1.4 assists per game and 7.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.
Player Spotlight
Giannis Antetokounmpo scores 30.5 points per contest while playing 31.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 12.9 rebounds per contest and has 5.7 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 55% and his free throw percentage is at 60%. Khris Middleton averages 18.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 27.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.5 rebounds per game and has 3.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 89%.
Useful Team Statistics
Orlando averages 103.5 points per contest, which is 29th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -1.5 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 27th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They average 44.5 boards per contest and 22.7 assists per game, which ranks them 19th and 22nd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 29th with 13.0 per game. The Magic allow 104.9 points per contest, which is 3rd in the NBA. They also surrender a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 23rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.8 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they allow 23.5 assists per game which puts them in 12th place in the league. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the NBA.
Useful Team Statistics
Milwaukee is 1st in the NBA with 120.3 points per contest this season. They are 1st in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 12.69. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 11th in the league. They are 1st in the NBA in rebounding with 51.2 boards per contest and 6th in assists per game with 25.9. The Bucks are 19th in turnovers per contest with 14.5. The Bucks give up 107.6 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 42% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 1st and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.4 dimes allowed per game and 19th with 46.1 boards surrendered per contest. The Bucks are 15th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.0 per contest this year.
Advanced Statistics
The Magic are 25th in the NBA in offensive rating with 105.8, and their defensive rating of 107.3 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 27th in the league with 97.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 28th. As a team they are 29th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 24th in the league. Orlando is 29th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 14th in the league.
Advanced Statistics
Milwaukee is 22nd in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 49%, which is 30th in the NBA. The Bucks are 3rd in the league in defensive rating with 102.4, and their offensive rating of 114.4 is ranked 1st. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 104.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 43% of their shot attempts, ranking 3rd in the NBA.
Who will win tonight's Magic/Bucks NBA game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take Orlando +12
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Additional Resources:
Milwaukee Bucks - Twitter
Orlando Magic - Twitter