Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Expert NBA Picks 11/7/2019

Thursday, November 7, 2019

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LaMarcus Aldridge and the San Antonio Spurs (4-3, 3rd in the Southwest Division) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (3-4, 5th in the Northwest Division) at AT&T Center on Thursday, November 7, 2019. Oklahoma City opens this matchup as 5.5 point dogs. The O/U is set at 218.5.

The Thunder cover the spread 71.4% of the time, having gone 5-2-0 ATS. San Antonio is covering 14.3% of the time, going 1-6-0 against the spread.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

11/6/2019 Mike Muscala PF Hand Game Time Decision
11/6/2019 Andre Roberson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Nov 9

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

11/6/2019 Derrick White PG Lower Body Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes into this game averaging 22.1 points per contest while playing 35.1 minutes per night this year. He grabs 6.6 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.1 assists per game. His FG percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is 71%. Danilo Gallinari averages 17.7 points per contest in 28.7 minutes per game. He averages 1.4 assists per game and 4.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 96%.

Player Spotlight

LaMarcus Aldridge scores 16.1 points per contest while playing 32.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 6.7 rebounds per contest and has 2.3 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 87%. DeMar DeRozan averages 20.6 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 33.7 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.9 rebounds per game and has 4.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 74%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 104.0 points per contest, which is 26th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 3.3 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a unit, which has them ranked 21st. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 16th in the NBA. They average 48.0 boards per contest and 18.7 assists per game, which ranks them 8th and 29th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 15th with 16.3 per game. The Thunder allow 100.7 points per contest, which is 3rd in the NBA. They also surrender a 40% shooting percentage and a 27% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 47.6 rebounds a game which ranks 23rd, and they allow 19.0 assists per game which puts them in 2nd place in the league. They force 14.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

San Antonio is 15th in the NBA with 111.0 points per contest this season. They are 17th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 1.43. They shoot 31% from beyond the arc, which is good for 26th in the league. They are 4th in the NBA in rebounding with 49.0 boards per contest and 22nd in assists per game with 22.1. The Spurs are 17th in turnovers per contest with 15.9. The Spurs give up 109.6 points per game, which ranks them 15th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 18th and 13th in those defensive statistics. They rank 10th with 22.4 dimes allowed per game and 8th with 44.1 boards surrendered per contest. The Spurs are 3rd in the league in forcing turnovers with 13.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 25th in the NBA in offensive rating with 102.7, and their defensive rating of 99.4 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 18th in the league with 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 23rd. As a team they are 23rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shots, ranking 18th in the league. Oklahoma City is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 45%, which is 30th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 17th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 17th in the league. The Spurs are 15th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107, and their defensive rating of 105.6 is ranked 15th. In terms of pace they are 12th in the league with 103.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 50% is 21st. As a team they are 18th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shots, ranking 29th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Oklahoma City +5.5

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