Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Sacramento Kings - 12/11/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Sacramento -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Golden 1 Center is the venue where Harrison Barnes and the Sacramento Kings (10-13, 4th in the Pacific Division) will play the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-12, 3rd in the Northwest Division) on Wednesday. Sacramento opens this matchup as 1.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 220.

The Thunder are covering 65.2% of the time, having gone 15-8-0 ATS. Sacramento covers the spread 65.2% of the time, going 15-8-0 against the spread.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

12/9/2019 Terrance Ferguson SG Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 11
12/9/2019 Danilo Gallinari SF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 11
12/4/2019 Andre Roberson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jan 1
11/25/2019 Hamidou Diallo SG Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jan 4

Key Sacramento Kings Injuries

12/9/2019 III Marvin Bagley III PF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Dec 11
12/2/2019 De'Aaron Fox PG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jan 1

Player Spotlight

Danilo Gallinari averages 18.3 points per game in 30.4 minutes per contest. He averages 2.1 assists per contest and 5.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 91%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes into this contest averaging 18.8 points per game while playing 34.9 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 3.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is at 80%.

Player Spotlight

Buddy Hield averages 21.4 points per game and he sees the court an average of 34.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.8 rebounds per contest and 2.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is 85%. Harrison Barnes averages 16.4 points per game while playing 35.5 minutes per contest. He grabs 5.3 rebounds per game and has 2.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Thunder allow 107.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 14th and 8th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.6 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they give up 22.3 assists per contest which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 14.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league. Oklahoma City averages 108.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.7 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 10th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 22nd in the league. They average 42.9 rebounds per game and 21.5 assists per contest, which ranks them 25th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 14.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Kings surrender 108.9 points per contest, which ranks them 16th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 26th and 16th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 23.5 assists allowed per contest, and 5th with 42.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Kings are 19th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.6 per game. Sacramento is 24th in the league with 105.7 points per game this year. They are 21st in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -3.2. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They are 28th in the league in rebounding with 41.8 boards per game and 23rd in assists per contest with 22.8. The Kings are 16th in turnovers per game with 15.3.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 108.1, and their offensive rating of 108.8 is ranked 13th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 12th. As a unit they are 11th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 20th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 17th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Sacramento is 11th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 54%, which is 7th in the NBA. The Kings are 19th in the league in defensive rating with 111, and their offensive rating of 107.7 is ranked 19th. They are 30th in the NBA in pace with 97.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 19th. As a unit they are 21st in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Kings NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Sacramento +1.5

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