Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers Expert NBA Picks 11/27/2019

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers

Date: Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: NBC Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Portland -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 219.5

Moda Center is the venue where CJ McCollum and the Portland Trail Blazers (6-12, 5th in the Northwest Division) will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (6-10, 4th in the Northwest Division) on Wednesday. Oklahoma City opens this game as 4.5 point dogs. The total has been set at 219.5.

The Thunder cover the spread 62.5% of the time, having gone 10-6-0 ATS. Portland is covering the spread 47.1% of the time, going 8-9-1 against the spread.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

11/25/2019 Hamidou Diallo SG Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jan 4
11/25/2019 Andre Roberson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 1

Key Portland Trail Blazers Injuries

11/25/2019 Jr SG Hamstring Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Zach Collins PF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Mar 15
7/6/2019 Jusuf Nurkic C Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Feb 1

Player Spotlight

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes into this game averaging 19.3 points per contest while playing 34.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.3 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.0 assists per game. His FG percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage is 80%. Danilo Gallinari averages 18.6 points per contest in 30.1 minutes per game. He averages 1.9 assists per game and 5.2 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 93%.

Player Spotlight

CJ McCollum scores 22.1 points per contest while playing 37.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.6 rebounds per contest and has 3.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Damian Lillard averages 27.3 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 37.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.9 rebounds per game and has 7.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 93%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 106.7 points per contest, which is 24th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -0.4 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a unit, which has them ranked 13th. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They average 42.8 boards per contest and 22.0 assists per game, which ranks them 25th and 25th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 14th with 15.6 per game. The Thunder allow 107.1 points per contest, which is 10th in the NBA. They also surrender a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 9th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.0 rebounds a game which ranks 20th, and they allow 23.1 assists per game which puts them in 10th place in the league. They force 15.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 17th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Portland is 10th in the NBA with 112.7 points per contest this season. They are 21st in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -2.33. They shoot 36% from beyond the arc, which is good for 11th in the league. They are 10th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.2 boards per contest and 30th in assists per game with 19.8. The Blazers are 23rd in turnovers per contest with 14.2. The Blazers give up 115.1 points per game, which ranks them 22nd in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 10th and 8th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 23.5 dimes allowed per game and 30th with 49.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Blazers are 7th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 106.9, and their offensive rating of 106.5 is ranked 12th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 99.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 17th. As a unit they are 12th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 9th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 20th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Portland is 26th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 22nd in the league. The Blazers are 14th in the NBA in offensive rating with 108.9, and their defensive rating of 111.2 is ranked 21st. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 102.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 21st. As a team they are 19th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Blazers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Portland -4.5

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