Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 10/28/2019

Monday, October 28, 2019

Toyota Center

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James Harden and the Houston Rockets (1-1, 3rd in the Southwest Division) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (0-2, 5th in the Northwest Division) at Toyota Center on Monday, October 28, 2019. Oklahoma City opens this game as 10.5 point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 227.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

10/26/2019 Andre Roberson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 28
10/26/2019 Hamidou Diallo SG Ankle Game Time Decision

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

10/26/2019 Michael Frazier SG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Oct 28
10/21/2019 Nene C Hip Expected to be out until at least Nov 15
10/13/2019 Gerald Green SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Mar 2

Player Spotlight

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander comes into this contest averaging 27 points per game while playing 37 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5 rebounds per game and dishes out 3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 64%. Chris Paul averages 14 points per game in 30 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4 assists per contest and 5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 42% for the year while his free throw percentage is 57%.

Player Spotlight

James Harden averages 24 points per game while playing 37 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6 rebounds per game and has 10 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 24% and his free throw percentage is at 96%. Russell Westbrook averages 26 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33 minutes per contest. He also averages 13 rebounds per contest and 10 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 76%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 90 points per contest this season, which ranks them 29th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -9 and their shooting percentage is 39% as a team, which has them ranked 29th. Behind the arc they shoot 30% which is good for 27th in the league. They average 49 rebounds per game and 15 assists per game, which ranks them 10th and 30th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 13th with 18 per game. The Thunder allow 99 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 5th in the league. They also allow a 42% shooting percentage and a 26% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 3rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 48 rebounds a game which ranks 21st and they give up 18 assists per contest, which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 13 turnovers per game which ranks them 2nd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston is 9th in the league with 119 points per game this year. They are 23rd in the league in shooting at 41%, while their average scoring margin is -2. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 23rd in the NBA. They are 5th in the league in rebounding with 51 boards per game, and 8th in assists per contest with 26. The Rockets are 16th in turnovers per game with 17. The Rockets surrender 120 points per contest, which ranks them 27th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 22nd and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 29th with 29 assists allowed per contest and 18th with 48 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 4th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 30th in the league in defensive rating with 96.3, and their offensive rating of 88 is ranked 4th. They are 22nd in the NBA in pace with 102.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 44% is 29th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 48% and they shoot 3-pointers on 30% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 12th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 47%, which is 25th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Houston is 21st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 7th in the league. The Rockets are 15th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.4, and their defensive rating of 107.7 is ranked 20th. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 111.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 20th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 51% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Rockets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Houston -10.5

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