Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets - 12/14/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Saturday, December 14, 2019

Location: Pepsi Center in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

Odds/Point Spread: Denver -7.5

Total/Over-Under: 205.5

Jamal Murray and the Denver Nuggets (15-8, 1st in the Northwest Division) play the Oklahoma City Thunder (11-13, 3rd in the Northwest Division) at Pepsi Center on Saturday, December 14, 2019. Denver opens this game as 7.5 point favorites. The total has been set at 205.5.

The Thunder are covering the spread 66.7% of the time, having gone 16-8-0 ATS. Denver is covering 47.6% of the time, going 10-11-2 against the spread.

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

12/12/2019 Kevin Hervey PF Ankle Game Time Decision
12/12/2019 Terrance Ferguson SG Hip Game Time Decision
12/4/2019 Andre Roberson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jan 1
11/25/2019 Hamidou Diallo SG Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jan 4

Key Denver Nuggets Injuries

12/13/2019 Paul Millsap PF Quadriceps Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Danilo Gallinari comes into this contest averaging 18.1 points per game while playing 30.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 91%. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averages 18.6 points per game in 34.9 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.0 assists per contest and 5.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 79%.

Player Spotlight

Jamal Murray averages 17.1 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.3 rebounds per game and has 4.5 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is at 89%. Nikola Jokic averages 16.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.0 rebounds per contest and 6.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is 78%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 107.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 0.6 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 10th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 20th in the league. They average 42.9 rebounds per game and 21.6 assists per game, which ranks them 24th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 21st with 14.2 per game. The Thunder allow 107.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 14th and 8th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.4 rebounds a game which ranks 14th and they give up 21.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 4th place in the league. They force 14.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 8th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Denver is 24th in the league with 106.2 points per game this year. They are 23rd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 4.6. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 16th in the NBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 46.0 boards per game, and 6th in assists per contest with 26.1. The Nuggets are 26th in turnovers per game with 13.8. The Nuggets surrender 101.6 points per contest, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 5th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 23.8 assists allowed per contest and 10th with 44.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nuggets are 12th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.6 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 18th in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 108.2 is ranked 13th. They are 25th in the NBA in pace with 98.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 13th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 18th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 19th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Denver is 24th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 27th in the NBA. The Nuggets are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 102.6, and their offensive rating of 107.3 is ranked 2nd. They are 29th in the NBA in pace with 97.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 25th. As a unit they are 26th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 26th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Nuggets NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Denver +7.5

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