Oklahoma City Thunder at Utah Jazz Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 3/11/2019

Monday, March 11, 2019

Vivint Smart Home Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Oklahoma City Thunder travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena to play the Utah Jazz on Monday, March 11, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Utah as 3.5 point favorites.

The Thunder head into this matchup with a mark of 40-26. They are 2nd in the Northwest Division. They have a point differential of 4.0 as they average 115.4 points per contest while giving up 111.5 per game. The Jazz have an overall record of 37-28 this season. They are 4th in the Northwest Division. They average 110.2 points per game and surrender 106.9, good for a point differential of 3.3.

Valuable Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 34-32-0 against the spread

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 32-33-0 against the over/under

Important Utah Jazz Betting Trends

The Utah Jazz are 33-30-2 against the spread

The Utah Jazz are 33-32-0 against the over/under

Key Oklahoma City Thunder Injuries

10/04/18 G Andre Roberson Knee is out indefinitely

Key Utah Jazz Injuries

03/09/19 PG Raul Neto Hamstring is questionable Monday vs Oklahoma City
03/09/19 PG Ricky Rubio Hip is questionable Monday vs Oklahoma City
01/07/19 PG Dante Exum Ankle is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Paul George comes into this contest averaging 28.4 points per game while playing 36.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 8.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Russell Westbrook averages 23.1 points per game in 35.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 10.5 assists per contest and 11.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 65%.

Player Spotlight

Donovan Mitchell averages 23.5 points per game while playing 33.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.0 rebounds per game and has 4.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Rudy Gobert averages 15.4 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.7 minutes per contest. He also averages 12.8 rebounds per contest and 2.1 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 65% and his free throw percentage is 64%.

Useful Team Statistics

Oklahoma City averages 115.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.0 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 16th. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 24th in the league. They average 48.2 rebounds per game and 23.2 assists per game, which ranks them 2nd and 23rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 17th with 14.1 per game. The Thunder allow 111.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 15th in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 16th and 12th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.9 rebounds a game which ranks 23rd and they give up 24.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 19th place in the league. They force 17.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 30th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Utah is 20th in the league with 110.2 points per game this year. They are 14th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 3.3. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 21st in the NBA. They are 11th in the league in rebounding with 45.8 boards per game, and 12th in assists per contest with 25.3. The Jazz are 5th in turnovers per game with 15.3. The Jazz surrender 106.9 points per contest, which ranks them 6th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 1st with 21.5 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 43.0 rebounds surrendered per game. The Jazz are 18th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Thunder are 15th in the league in defensive rating with 106.7, and their offensive rating of 110.5 is ranked 5th. They are 3rd in the NBA in pace with 103.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 21st. As a unit they are 23rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 18th in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 25th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 16th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Utah is 3rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 27th in the league. The Jazz are 18th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.5, and their defensive rating of 106.2 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 100.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 11th. As a team they are 12th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 6th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Thunder/Jazz NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Utah -3.5

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