Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies - 12/13/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Friday, December 13, 2019

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: Fox Sports Southeast - Memphis

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -5.5

Total/Over-Under: 216

Jonas Valanciunas and the Memphis Grizzlies (8-16, 4th in the Southwest Division) host the Milwaukee Bucks (22-3, 1st in the Central Division) at FedExForum on Friday, December 13, 2019. Memphis opens this matchup as 5.5 point dogs. The over/under opens at 216.

The Bucks are covering the spread 52.0% of the time, having gone 13-12-0 ATS. Memphis is covering 41.7% of the time, going 10-14-0 against the spread.

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

12/11/2019 Giannis Antetokounmpo PF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Dec 13
12/10/2019 Dragan Bender SF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 13

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

12/11/2019 Josh Jackson SG Suspension Expected to be out until at least Dec 14
12/10/2019 Grayson Allen SG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 13
12/10/2019 Andre Iguodala SG Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Dec 25

Player Spotlight

Giannis Antetokounmpo comes into this game averaging 30.9 points per contest while playing 31.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 13.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 5.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage is 59%. Eric Bledsoe averages 15.2 points per contest in 27.0 minutes per game. He averages 5.7 assists per game and 5.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% for the season while his free throw percentage is 80%.

Player Spotlight

Jonas Valanciunas scores 13.9 points per contest while playing 24.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.8 rebounds per contest and has 1.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is at 77%. Jaren Jackson averages 16.5 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 27.3 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.8 rebounds per game and has 1.5 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 79%.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee averages 120.8 points per contest, which is 1st in the league. Their average scoring margin is 13.4 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 2nd. From 3-point territory they shoot 36%, which is good for 13th in the NBA. They average 51.6 boards per contest and 26.0 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 18th with 14.9 per game. The Bucks allow 107.4 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. They also surrender a 41% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 19th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.0 rebounds a game which ranks 20th, and they allow 23.9 assists per game which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 15.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 14th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Memphis is 18th in the NBA with 109.0 points per contest this season. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -6.96. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 24th in the league. They are 18th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.0 boards per contest and 5th in assists per game with 26.3. The Grizzlies are 7th in turnovers per contest with 16.2. The Grizzlies give up 116.0 points per game, which ranks them 26th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 18th and 23rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 25.5 dimes allowed per game and 16th with 45.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Grizzlies are 15th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.3, and their defensive rating of 101.6 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 105.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league. Milwaukee is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 29th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Memphis is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 11th in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 25th in the league in defensive rating with 111.5, and their offensive rating of 104.8 is ranked 21st. They are 5th in the NBA in pace with 103.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 22nd. As a unit they are 24th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 24th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Grizzlies NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Memphis +5.5

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