Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Expert NBA Picks 11/16/2019

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Saturday, November 16, 2019

Location: Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: Fox Sports Indiana

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -5

Total/Over-Under: 226

Eric Bledsoe and the Milwaukee Bucks (8-3, 1st in the Central Division) head to Bankers Life Fieldhouse on Saturday where they'll meet the Indiana Pacers (7-4, 2nd in the Central Division). Milwaukee opens this game as 5 point favorites. The O/U is set at 226.

The Bucks are covering the spread 45.5% of the time, having gone 5-6-0 ATS. Indiana is covering 60.0% of the time, going 6-4-1 against the spread.

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

11/11/2019 Khris Middleton SF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Dec 4

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

11/14/2019 Jeremy Lamb SG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Nov 16
11/14/2019 Myles Turner PF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Nov 16
10/31/2019 Edmond Sumner PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Nov 23
10/27/2019 Victor Oladipo SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 1

Player Spotlight

Eric Bledsoe comes into this game averaging 17.6 points per contest while playing 27.1 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 5.3 assists per game. His FG percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is 80%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 30.5 points per contest in 33.3 minutes per game. He averages 6.5 assists per game and 14.5 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 58% for the season while his free throw percentage is 63%.

Player Spotlight

Malcolm Brogdon scores 20.7 points per contest while playing 33.0 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.2 rebounds per contest and has 8.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 98%. Domantas Sabonis averages 19.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 13.3 rebounds per game and has 3.9 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is 85%.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee averages 120.3 points per contest, which is 1st in the league. Their average scoring margin is 8.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 4th. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 18th in the NBA. They average 52.3 boards per contest and 24.0 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 17th with 15.5 per game. The Bucks allow 112.1 points per contest, which is 19th in the NBA. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 26th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 47.5 rebounds a game which ranks 25th, and they allow 23.5 assists per game which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 15.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 20th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana is 18th in the NBA with 109.5 points per contest this season. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.45. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 14th in the league. They are 19th in the NBA in rebounding with 44.8 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 25.7. The Pacers are 27th in turnovers per contest with 13.5. The Pacers give up 104.0 points per game, which ranks them 5th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 11th and 20th in those defensive statistics. They rank 12th with 23.4 dimes allowed per game and 7th with 43.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Pacers are 23rd in the league in forcing turnovers with 16.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 4th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.2, and their defensive rating of 103.7 is ranked 8th. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 107.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 45% of their shots, ranking 2nd in the league. Milwaukee is 18th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 23rd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Indiana is 27th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 20th in the NBA. The Pacers are 7th in the league in defensive rating with 104, and their offensive rating of 109.5 is ranked 9th. They are 27th in the NBA in pace with 99 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 16th. As a unit they are 17th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 27% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Pacers NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Milwaukee -5

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