Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons Expert NBA Picks 12/4/2019

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons

Date: Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Location: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI

TV: Fox Sports Detroit

Odds/Point Spread: Milwaukee -8.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Luke Kennard and the Detroit Pistons (7-13, 3rd in the Central Division) host the Milwaukee Bucks (18-3, 1st in the Central Division) at Little Caesars Arena on Wednesday, December 4, 2019. The spread on this game has Milwaukee as 8.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 220.

The Bucks are covering 47.6% of the time, having gone 10-11-0 ATS. Detroit is covering 36.8% of the time, going 7-12-1 against the spread.

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

12/2/2019 Sterling Brown SG Shoulder Game Time Decision
12/2/2019 Brook Lopez C Back Game Time Decision

Key Detroit Pistons Injuries

12/2/2019 Svi Mykhailiuk SG Knee Game Time Decision
12/1/2019 Reggie Jackson PG Back Expected to be out until at least Dec 3
11/13/2019 Khyri Thomas SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Jan 1

Player Spotlight

Eric Bledsoe comes into this game averaging 15.3 points per contest while playing 27.1 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.1 rebounds per contest and distributes 5.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is 79%. Giannis Antetokounmpo averages 30.8 points per contest in 31.9 minutes per game. He averages 5.8 assists per game and 13.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 57% for the season while his free throw percentage is 58%.

Player Spotlight

Luke Kennard scores 16.9 points per contest while playing 33.8 minutes per game. He hauls in 3.6 rebounds per contest and has 4.3 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 89%. Andre Drummond averages 17.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.1 minutes per game. He also brings in 17.1 rebounds per game and has 3.1 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 62%.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee averages 120.8 points per contest, which is 1st in the league. Their average scoring margin is 12.4 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 1st. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They average 51.7 boards per contest and 25.6 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 8th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 20th with 14.8 per game. The Bucks allow 108.4 points per contest, which is 13th in the NBA. They also surrender a 42% shooting percentage and a 37% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 26th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.4 rebounds a game which ranks 23rd, and they allow 23.9 assists per game which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 14.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Detroit is 19th in the NBA with 108.2 points per contest this season. They are 6th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -0.5. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 2nd in the league. They are 25th in the NBA in rebounding with 42.7 boards per contest and 10th in assists per game with 25.1. The Pistons are 3rd in turnovers per contest with 16.8. The Pistons give up 108.7 points per game, which ranks them 14th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 47% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 22nd and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 24th with 25.5 dimes allowed per game and 3rd with 40.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Pistons are 7th in the league in forcing turnovers with 14.0 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 114.2, and their defensive rating of 102.5 is ranked 2nd. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 105.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league. Milwaukee is 22nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 28th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit is 2nd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 12th in the league. The Pistons are 13th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.8, and their defensive rating of 110.3 is ranked 20th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 98.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 4th. As a team they are 6th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 14th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Pistons NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Detroit +8.5

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