Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons Game 4 Betting Tips 4/22/2019

Monday, April 22, 2019

Little Caesars Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Milwaukee Bucks head to Little Caesars Arena on Monday where they'll meet Blake Griffin and the Detroit Pistons in Game 4 of their first round series. The Bucks lead 3-0 after beating the Pistons 119-103 on Saturday. Milwaukee opens as 10.5-point favorites. The total is 218.5. The Bucks (60-22, 1st in the Central Division) cover the spread 62% of the time, going 50-31-4 this year. The Pistons (41-41, 3rd in the Central Division) have an ATS record of 41-42-2, so they cover 49% of the time. As the favorite, Milwaukee covers the spread 61% of the time, while Detroit has covered 41% of the time as an underdog this season.

Valuable Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Bucks are 49-32-3 against the spread

The Milwaukee Bucks are 42-42-0 against the over/under

Important Detroit Pistons Betting Trends

The Detroit Pistons are 42-41-1 against the spread

The Detroit Pistons are 39-44-0 against the over/under

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

04/09/19 G Tony Snell Ankle is out indefinitely
03/27/19 G Donte DiVincenzo Foot is out for season
03/23/19 C Pau Gasol Ankle is out indefinitely
03/16/19 G Malcolm Brogdon Heel is out indefinitely

Key Detroit Pistons Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Khris Middleton comes into this contest averaging 18.3 points per game while playing 31.1 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 6.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 44% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 84%. Nikola Mirotic averages 15.2 points per game in 27.1 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.2 assists per contest and 7.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 44% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Blake Griffin averages 24.5 points per game while playing 35.0 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 7.5 rebounds per game and has 5.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 75%. Wayne Ellington averages 10.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 24.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 2.0 rebounds per contest and 1.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

Milwaukee averages 118.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 8.9 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 49.7 rebounds per game and 26.0 assists per game, which ranks them 1st and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 13.9 per game. The Bucks allow 109.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 22nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.3 rebounds a game which ranks 15th and they give up 24.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 19th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Detroit is 25th in the league with 107.0 points per game this year. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -0.2. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 22nd in the NBA. They are 18th in the league in rebounding with 45.0 boards per game, and 26th in assists per contest with 22.5. The Pistons are 19th in turnovers per game with 13.8. The Pistons surrender 107.3 points per contest, which ranks them 7th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 24th and 9th in those defensive statistics. They rank 9th with 23.7 assists allowed per contest and 6th with 43.7 rebounds surrendered per game. The Pistons are 17th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 4th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.8, and their defensive rating of 105.2 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 103.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league. Milwaukee is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 30th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Detroit is 17th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 12th in the NBA. The Pistons are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 109.2, and their offensive rating of 109 is ranked 11th. They are 28th in the NBA in pace with 97.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 26th. As a unit they are 26th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 6th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Pistons NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Detroit +10.5

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