Milwaukee Bucks at Boston Celtics Game 4 Point Spread Picks 5/6/2019

Monday, May 6, 2019

TD Garden

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Milwaukee Bucks head to TD Garden on Monday where they'll meet Jaylen Brown and the Boston Celtics in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. Milwaukee won Game 3 by a score of 123-116 to take a 2-1 series lead. Giannis Antetokounmpo again lead the Bucks with 32 points, 13 rebounds, and 8 dimes. Boston opens as 1.5-point favorites. The total is set at 221. The Bucks (60-22, 1st in the Central Division) are covering the spread 62% of the time, going 53-32-4 on the season. The Celtics (49-33, 3rd in the Atlantic Division) have an ATS mark of 43-44-2, so they are covering the spread 49% of the time. As a favorite, Boston is covering the spread 49% of the time, while Milwaukee has covered the spread 73% of the time as the underdog on the season. The Celtics have been ok for wagerers at home, going 23-22-0 ATS.

Valuable Milwaukee Bucks Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Bucks are 53-33-3 against the spread

The Milwaukee Bucks are 46-43-0 against the over/under

Important Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics are 43-44-2 against the spread

The Boston Celtics are 49-38-0 against the over/under

Key Milwaukee Bucks Injuries

03/27/19 G Donte DiVincenzo Foot is out for season
03/23/19 C Pau Gasol Ankle is out indefinitely
03/16/19 G Malcolm Brogdon Heel is out indefinitely

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

04/10/19 PG Marcus Smart Oblique is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Brook Lopez averages 12.5 points per game in 28.7 minutes per contest. He averages 1.2 assists per contest and 4.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 84%. Eric Bledsoe comes into this contest averaging 15.9 points per game while playing 29.1 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is at 75%.

Player Spotlight

Al Horford averages 13.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 29.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.7 rebounds per contest and 4.2 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 82%. Jaylen Brown averages 13.0 points per game while playing 25.9 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per game and has 1.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 66%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Bucks allow 109.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 11th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 1st and 22nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.3 rebounds a game which ranks 15th, and they give up 24.8 assists per contest which puts them in 19th place in the league. They force 13.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league. Milwaukee averages 118.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 8.9 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 35% which is good for 15th in the league. They average 49.7 rebounds per game and 26.0 assists per contest, which ranks them 1st and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 13.9 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Celtics surrender 108.0 points per contest, which ranks them 8th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 4th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 8th with 23.7 assists allowed per contest, and 22nd with 45.9 rebounds surrendered per game. The Celtics are 24th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.1 per game. Boston is 14th in the league with 112.4 points per game this year. They are 14th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.4. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 7th in the NBA. They are 22nd in the league in rebounding with 44.5 boards per game and 5th in assists per contest with 26.3. The Celtics are 28th in turnovers per game with 12.8.

Advanced Statistics

The Bucks are 4th in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.8, and their defensive rating of 105.2 is ranked 1st. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 103.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league. Milwaukee is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 30th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 26th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the league. The Celtics are 10th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.2, and their defensive rating of 107.8 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 16th in the league with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 6th. As a team they are 10th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Bucks/Celtics NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Boston -1.5

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