Miami Heat vs. Washington Wizards - 12/30/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Date: Monday, December 30, 2019

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C.

TV: NBC Sports Washington

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -9.5

Total/Over-Under: 218

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (24-8, 1st in the Southeast Division) travel to Capital One Arena on Monday where they'll meet the Washington Wizards (9-22, 4th in the Southeast Division). Washington opens this contest as 9.5 point underdogs. The total opens at 218.

The Heat are covering the spread 63.3% of the time, having gone 19-11-2 ATS. Washington covers the spread 50.0% of the time, going 15-15-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/28/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Expected to be out until at least Dec 30

Key Washington Wizards Injuries

12/28/2019 Rui Hachimura PF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jan 6
12/28/2019 Davis Bertans SF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jan 4
12/28/2019 Bradley Beal SG Calf Expected to be out until at least Dec 30
12/27/2019 Moe Wagner SF Ankle Game Time Decision
12/10/2019 C.J SF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Apr 1
12/4/2019 Thomas Bryant C Foot Expected to be out until at least Jan 5
7/23/2019 John Wall PG Achilles Expected to be out until at least May 1

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this game averaging 15.6 points per contest while playing 34.3 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage is 69%. Jimmy Butler averages 20.5 points per contest in 35.4 minutes per game. He averages 6.7 assists per game and 6.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% for the season while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Ish Smith scores 9.9 points per contest while playing 25.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 2.8 rebounds per contest and has 4.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 67%. Bradley Beal averages 27.8 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 36.6 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.8 rebounds per game and has 6.7 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 83%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.6 points per contest, which is 8th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 4.9 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 5th. From 3-point territory they shoot 39%, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They average 45.6 boards per contest and 25.3 assists per game, which ranks them 13th and 8th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 2nd with 16.4 per game. The Heat allow 107.7 points per contest, which is 11th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 2nd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 41.5 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they allow 24.1 assists per game which puts them in 17th place in the league. They force 14.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Washington is 4th in the NBA with 116.4 points per contest this season. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -5.1. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 8th in the league. They are 30th in the NBA in rebounding with 41.9 boards per contest and 4th in assists per game with 26.6. The Wizards are 23rd in turnovers per contest with 14.0. The Wizards give up 121.5 points per game, which ranks them 30th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 49% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 30th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 29th with 26.7 dimes allowed per game and 25th with 46.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Wizards are 25th in the league in forcing turnovers with 16.1 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 8th in the league in defensive rating with 106.7, and their offensive rating of 111.6 is ranked 10th. They are 23rd in the NBA in pace with 99 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA. Miami is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 18th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Washington is 27th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 57%, which is 1st in the league. The Wizards are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112, and their defensive rating of 116.9 is ranked 30th. In terms of pace they are 3rd in the league with 103.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 10th. As a team they are 14th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 17th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Wizards NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Washington +9.5

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