Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors NBA Picks 12/3/2019

Game: Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors

Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: SN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto -2

Total/Over-Under: 224

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (14-5, 1st in the Southeast Division) head to Scotiabank Arena on Tuesday where they'll meet the Toronto Raptors (15-4, 1st in the Atlantic Division). Miami opens this game as 2 point underdogs. The O/U is set at 224.

The Heat are covering 72.2% of the time, having gone 13-5-1 ATS. Toronto is covering the spread 68.4% of the time, going 13-6-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/1/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision
12/1/2019 Dion Waiters SG Undisclosed Game Time Decision

Key Toronto Raptors Injuries

12/1/2019 Stanley Johnson SF Groin Game Time Decision
12/1/2019 Kyle Lowry PG Thumb Game Time Decision
11/26/2019 Matt Thomas SG Finger Expected to be out until at least Dec 28
11/6/2019 Patrick McCaw SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 14

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic averages 15.9 points per game in 28.7 minutes per contest. He averages 5.0 assists per contest and 3.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 71%. Bam Adebayo comes into this contest averaging 13.9 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per night. He pulls down 10.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 58% while his free throw percentage is at 66%.

Player Spotlight

Fred VanVleet averages 18.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 37.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.9 rebounds per contest and 7.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 88%. Pascal Siakam averages 25.6 points per game while playing 36.8 minutes per contest. He grabs 8.4 rebounds per game and has 4.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 47% and his free throw percentage is at 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat allow 105.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the arc, ranking them 8th and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.4 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they give up 23.5 assists per contest which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 16.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 28th in the league. Miami averages 111.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.3 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 3rd. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 44.6 rebounds per game and 25.0 assists per contest, which ranks them 20th and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 18.4 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Raptors surrender 104.2 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 1st and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 18th with 24.5 assists allowed per contest, and 29th with 48.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Raptors are 24th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.2 per game. Toronto is 10th in the league with 113.3 points per game this year. They are 9th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is 9.1. They shoot 40% from 3-point range, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They are 11th in the league in rebounding with 46.1 boards per game and 7th in assists per contest with 25.8. The Raptors are 14th in turnovers per game with 15.3.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 10th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110, and their defensive rating of 103.8 is ranked 6th. In terms of pace they are 16th in the league with 100.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 20th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 12th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%, which is 30th in the league. The Raptors are 6th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.5, and their defensive rating of 102.6 is ranked 2nd. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 101 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 3rd. As a team they are 4th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Raptors NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami +2

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