Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns NBA Picks 11/7/2019

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Talking Stick Resort Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Devin Booker and the Phoenix Suns (5-2, 2nd in the Pacific Division) host the Miami Heat (5-2, 1st in the Southeast Division) at Talking Stick Resort Arena on Thursday, November 7, 2019. The spread on this game has Phoenix as 1 point favorites. The over/under opens at 218.5.

The Heat are covering the spread 83.3% of the time, having gone 5-1-1 ATS. Phoenix is covering 100.0% of the time, going 7-0-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/6/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision

Key Phoenix Suns Injuries

11/4/2019 Ty Jerome PG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Nov 29

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic averages 15.1 points per game in 27.0 minutes per contest. He averages 4.6 assists per contest and 3.0 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 70%. Bam Adebayo comes into this contest averaging 12.7 points per game while playing 30.4 minutes per night. He pulls down 9.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 52% while his free throw percentage is at 64%.

Player Spotlight

Kelly Oubre averages 17.4 points per game and he sees the court an average of 30.9 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.0 rebounds per contest and 1.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is 83%. Devin Booker averages 26.1 points per game while playing 34.4 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.6 rebounds per game and has 5.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is at 90%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat allow 106.6 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 28% average from behind the arc, ranking them 11th and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.0 rebounds a game which ranks 6th, and they give up 24.3 assists per contest which puts them in 20th place in the league. They force 19.4 turnovers per game which ranks them 30th in the league. Miami averages 113.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 7.1 and their shooting percentage is 46% as a team, which has them ranked 9th. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 46.6 rebounds per game and 26.4 assists per contest, which ranks them 11th and 3rd in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 2nd with 19.6 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Suns surrender 106.4 points per contest, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 43% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 10th and 8th in those defensive statistics. They rank 7th with 21.1 assists allowed per contest, and 9th with 44.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Suns are 27th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 19.1 per game. Phoenix is 8th in the league with 115.0 points per game this year. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 8.6. They shoot 38% from 3-point range, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They are 24th in the league in rebounding with 43.4 boards per game and 2nd in assists per contest with 27.7. The Suns are 14th in turnovers per game with 16.9.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 16th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.5, and their defensive rating of 99.8 is ranked 4th. In terms of pace they are 9th in the league with 105.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 6th. As a team they are 6th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league. Miami is 2nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Phoenix is 12th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 22nd in the league. The Suns are 9th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.1, and their defensive rating of 101 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 11th in the league with 103.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 3rd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 14th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Suns NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Phoenix -1

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