Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers NBA Game Picks 11/23/2019

Game: Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Date: Saturday, November 23, 2019

Location: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 216

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (10-3, 1st in the Southeast Division) go to Wells Fargo Center on Saturday where they'll take on the Philadelphia 76ers (9-5, 3rd in the Atlantic Division). The spread on this contest has Philadelphia as 4.5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 216.

The Heat are covering 83.3% of the time, having gone 10-2-1 ATS. Philadelphia is covering the spread 46.2% of the time, going 6-7-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/21/2019 Justise Winslow SF Concussion Expected to be out until at least Nov 25
11/21/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Expected to be out until at least Nov 25
11/21/2019 Jr SF Hip Expected to be out until at least Nov 25

Key Philadelphia 76ers Injuries

11/21/2019 Trey Burke PG Ankle Game Time Decision
11/20/2019 Marial Shayok SG Quadriceps Game Time Decision
11/20/2019 Josh Richardson SG Hip Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this game averaging 13.8 points per contest while playing 32.2 minutes per night this year. He grabs 10.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 4.5 assists per game. His FG percentage is 61% while his free throw percentage is 61%. Goran Dragic averages 15.8 points per contest in 28.2 minutes per game. He averages 5.2 assists per game and 3.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% for the season while his free throw percentage is 73%.

Player Spotlight

Joel Embiid scores 22.9 points per contest while playing 29.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 11.5 rebounds per contest and has 3.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 79%. Tobias Harris averages 17.4 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 34.4 minutes per game. He also brings in 7.6 rebounds per game and has 3.6 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.2 points per contest, which is 13th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 8.5 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a unit, which has them ranked 1st. From 3-point territory they shoot 40%, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They average 44.3 boards per contest and 26.2 assists per game, which ranks them 21st and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 1st with 19.2 per game. The Heat allow 103.7 points per contest, which is 6th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 30% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 40.5 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they allow 23.8 assists per game which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 18.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 29th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Philadelphia is 16th in the NBA with 109.7 points per contest this season. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 3.21. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 17th in the league. They are 11th in the NBA in rebounding with 46.6 boards per contest and 5th in assists per game with 26.4. The 76ers are 6th in turnovers per contest with 17.0. The 76ers give up 106.5 points per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 19th and 25th in those defensive statistics. They rank 2nd with 20.1 dimes allowed per game and 1st with 40.4 boards surrendered per contest. The 76ers are 19th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.7 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 100.8, and their offensive rating of 109 is ranked 3rd. They are 12th in the NBA in pace with 102 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 22nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Philadelphia is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 15th in the NBA. The 76ers are 15th in the league in defensive rating with 104.3, and their offensive rating of 107.5 is ranked 10th. They are 17th in the NBA in pace with 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 53% is 10th. As a unit they are 13th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 23rd in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/76ers NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Miami +4.5

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