Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Picks & Predictions 10/27/2019

Sunday, October 27, 2019

Target Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns and the Minnesota Timberwolves (2-0, 2nd in the Northwest Division) host the Miami Heat (1-0, 3rd in the Southeast Division) at Target Center on Sunday, October 27, 2019. The odds on this game have Minnesota as 5 point favorites. The over/under opens at 224.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

10/25/2019 James Johnson PF Coach's Decision Expected to be out until at least Oct 29
10/25/2019 Jimmy Butler SF Personal Expected to be out until at least Oct 29
10/25/2019 Udonis Haslem PF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Oct 27

Key Minnesota Timberwolves Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Justise Winslow comes into this game averaging 27 points per contest while playing 37 minutes per night this year. He grabs 7 rebounds per contest and distributes 7 assists per game. His FG percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage is 67%. Goran Dragic averages 19 points per contest in 25 minutes per game. He averages 3 assists per game and 3 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 44% for the season while his free throw percentage is 90%.

Player Spotlight

Karl-Anthony Towns scores 37 points per contest while playing 33 minutes per game. He hauls in 15 rebounds per contest and has 6 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 60% and his free throw percentage is at 67%. Andrew Wiggins averages 19 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 35 minutes per game. He also brings in 6 rebounds per game and has 1 assist per contest. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 71%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 120 points per contest, which is 4th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 19 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 8th. From 3-point territory they shoot 39%, which is good for 8th in the NBA. They average 51 boards per contest and 18 assists per game, which ranks them 7th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 3rd with 21 per game. The Heat allow 101 points per contest, which is 9th in the NBA. They also surrender a 43% shooting percentage and a 16% average from 3-point range, ranking them 12th and 1st in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 40 rebounds a game which ranks 5th, and they allow 22 assists per game which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 24 turnovers per game which ranks them 30th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Minnesota is 2nd in the NBA with 124 points per contest this season. They are 15th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 11.5. They shoot 31% from beyond the arc, which is good for 22nd in the league. They are 5th in the NBA in rebounding with 52 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 27. The Timberwolves are 22nd in turnovers per contest with 15. The Timberwolves give up 113 points per game, which ranks them 18th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 43% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 20th and 25th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 23 dimes allowed per game and 13th with 45 boards surrendered per contest. The Timberwolves are 19th in the league in forcing turnovers with 18 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 14th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.2, and their defensive rating of 90.2 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 112 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 13th. As a team they are 6th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 21% of their shots, ranking 30th in the league. Miami is 3rd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 19 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 46%, which is 25th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Minnesota is 25th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 9th in the NBA. The Timberwolves are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 101.6, and their offensive rating of 112 is ranked 11th. They are 10th in the NBA in pace with 105.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% is 14th. As a unit they are 15th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 41% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Timberwolves NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Minnesota +5

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