Miami Heat vs. Memphis Grizzlies - 12/16/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Monday, December 16, 2019

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: Fox Sports Southeast - Memphis

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 222

FedExForum is the site where Jaren Jackson and the Memphis Grizzlies (9-17, 4th in the Southwest Division) will take on the Miami Heat (19-7, 1st in the Southeast Division) on Monday. The odds on this matchup have Miami as 3.5 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 222.

The Heat cover 68.0% of the time, having gone 17-8-1 ATS. Memphis is covering 42.3% of the time, going 11-15-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/14/2019 James Johnson PF Personal Expected to be out until at least Dec 16
12/13/2019 Goran Dragic PG Groin Expected to be out until at least Dec 16
12/13/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Expected to be out until at least Dec 16

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

12/14/2019 Jae Crowder SF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 16
12/14/2019 Grayson Allen SG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Dec 16
12/11/2019 Josh Jackson SG Suspension Expected to be out until at least Dec 14
12/10/2019 Andre Iguodala SG Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Dec 25

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo averages 15.2 points per contest in 33.8 minutes per game this year. He averages 4.6 assists per game and 10.6 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 58% for the season while his free throw percentage is 65%. Jimmy Butler comes into this game averaging 21.0 points per contest while playing 35.5 minutes per night. He grabs 6.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 6.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 43% while his free throw percentage is 83%.

Player Spotlight

Jonas Valanciunas averages 13.3 points per game and he sees the court an average of 24.8 minutes per game. He also hauls in 9.7 rebounds per game and dishes 1.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 76%. Jaren Jackson scores 17.6 points per contest while playing 27.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.8 rebounds per contest and has 1.5 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 77%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat allow 106.9 points per contest which is 9th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 3rd in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 41.4 rebounds a game which ranks 3rd, and they allow 24.2 assists per game which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 15.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the NBA. Miami averages 112.3 points per contest, which is 10th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 5.4 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a unit, which has them ranked 4th. From 3-point territory they shoot 38%, which is good for 3rd in the NBA. They average 45.1 boards per contest and 25.3 assists per game, which ranks them 16th and 8th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 2nd with 17.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Grizzlies give up 116.2 points per game, which ranks them 26th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 37% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 18th and 24th in those defensive statistics. They rank 23rd with 25.2 dimes allowed per game and 15th with 45.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Grizzlies are 17th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.4 per contest. Memphis is 17th in the NBA with 109.9 points per contest this season. They are 12th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -6.3. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 19th in the league. They are 17th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.1 boards per contest and 4th in assists per game with 26.5. The Grizzlies are 3rd in turnovers per contest with 16.4.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 9th in the league in defensive rating with 105.3, and their offensive rating of 110.6 is ranked 9th. They are 19th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 4th. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 18th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Memphis is 6th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 11th in the NBA. The Grizzlies are 24th in the league in defensive rating with 111.5, and their offensive rating of 105.5 is ranked 20th. They are 4th in the NBA in pace with 103.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 19th. As a unit they are 20th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shot attempts, ranking 21st in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Memphis +3.5 and over 222 total points

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