Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets NBA Point Spread Picks 11/27/2019

Game: Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets

Date: Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: AT&T Sportsnet - Southwest

Odds/Point Spread: Houston -6

Total/Over-Under: 227.5

Toyota Center is the site where James Harden and the Houston Rockets (11-6, 2nd in the Southwest Division) will play the Miami Heat (12-4, 1st in the Southeast Division) on Wednesday. Houston opens this game as 6 point favorites. The O/U is set at 227.5.

The Heat cover 80.0% of the time, having gone 12-3-1 ATS. Houston is covering 47.1% of the time, going 8-9-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/25/2019 Justise Winslow SF Concussion Game Time Decision
11/25/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision
11/25/2019 Jr SF Hip Game Time Decision
11/25/2019 Udonis Haslem PF Illness Game Time Decision
11/25/2019 James Johnson PF Illness Game Time Decision

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

11/12/2019 Eric Gordon SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 13
11/11/2019 Nene C Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
10/28/2019 Gerald Green SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Apr 15

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic averages 15.3 points per game in 28.4 minutes per contest. He averages 5.3 assists per contest and 3.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 45% for the year while his free throw percentage is 73%. Bam Adebayo comes into this contest averaging 14.3 points per game while playing 31.9 minutes per night. He pulls down 10.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 60% while his free throw percentage is at 65%.

Player Spotlight

Russell Westbrook averages 22.2 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.5 rebounds per contest and 6.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 71%. James Harden averages 37.9 points per game while playing 37.3 minutes per contest. He grabs 6.1 rebounds per game and has 8.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat allow 104.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 7th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.4 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd, and they give up 24.1 assists per contest which puts them in 16th place in the league. They force 17.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 29th in the league. Miami averages 111.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 14th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.8 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 44.2 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 20th and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 19.1 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Rockets surrender 115.1 points per contest, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 17th and 14th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.8 assists allowed per contest, and 25th with 47.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 21st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.0 per game. Houston is 4th in the league with 118.2 points per game this year. They are 22nd in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is 3.2. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They are 5th in the league in rebounding with 47.3 boards per game and 26th in assists per contest with 21.3. The Rockets are 17th in turnovers per game with 15.4.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 12th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.2, and their defensive rating of 102.5 is ranked 2nd. In terms of pace they are 15th in the league with 101.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 12th in the league. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Houston is 21st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 13th in the league. The Rockets are 3rd in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.2, and their defensive rating of 109.2 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 105.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 12th. As a team they are 8th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 50% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Rockets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Houston -6

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here