Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Picks & Predictions 11/14/2019

Game: Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Date: Thursday, November 14, 2019

Location: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, OH

TV: Fox Sports Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -6

Total/Over-Under: 216

Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (7-3, 1st in the Southeast Division) are headed to Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse on Thursday where they'll meet the Cleveland Cavaliers (4-6, 3rd in the Central Division). Miami opens this contest as 6 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 216.

The Heat are covering the spread 77.8% of the time, having gone 7-2-1 ATS. Cleveland is covering 66.7% of the time, going 6-3-1 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/13/2019 James Johnson PF Illness Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Jr SF Hip Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Justise Winslow SF Concussion Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Tyler Herro SG Ankle Game Time Decision

Key Cleveland Cavaliers Injuries

11/12/2019 Ante Zizic C Foot Expected to be out until at least Nov 21
11/12/2019 Dylan Windler SG Lower Leg Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Kevin Porter SG Leg Game Time Decision
11/11/2019 John Henson PF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Nov 18

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this contest averaging 13.3 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 9.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 58% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 61%. Goran Dragic averages 16.8 points per game in 28.7 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.9 assists per contest and 3.4 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 72%.

Player Spotlight

Kevin Love averages 18.5 points per game while playing 32.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 12.9 rebounds per game and has 3.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 87%. Collin Sexton averages 18.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 31.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 3.1 rebounds per contest and 2.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 80%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 111.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 6th. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 4th in the league. They average 44.6 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 18.5 per game. The Heat allow 105.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 8th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 29% average from behind the arc, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.1 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 24.9 assists per contest, which puts them in 23rd place in the league. They force 18.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 28th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Cleveland is 23rd in the league with 106.1 points per game this year. They are 25th in the league in shooting at 44%, while their average scoring margin is -0.9. They shoot 33% from 3-point range, which is good for 23rd in the NBA. They are 14th in the league in rebounding with 46.0 boards per game, and 27th in assists per contest with 20.4. The Cavaliers are 26th in turnovers per game with 14.1. The Cavaliers surrender 107.0 points per contest, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 33% average from 3-point range, ranking them 20th and 8th in those defensive statistics. They rank 22nd with 24.8 assists allowed per contest and 17th with 46.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Cavaliers are 5th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 17th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.1, and their defensive rating of 101.4 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 10th in the league with 103.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 3rd. As a team they are 5th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 10th in the league. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 21st in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Cleveland is 24th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 52%, which is 15th in the NBA. The Cavaliers are 20th in the league in defensive rating with 107.1, and their offensive rating of 106.2 is ranked 16th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 99.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 26th. As a unit they are 25th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 17th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Cavaliers NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Cleveland +6

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