Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 11/22/2019

Game: Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Date: Friday, November 22, 2019

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -4

Total/Over-Under: 217

Zach Lavine and the Chicago Bulls (5-10, 3rd in the Central Division) play the Miami Heat (10-3, 1st in the Southeast Division) at United Center on Friday, November 22, 2019. The spread on this contest has Miami as 4 point favorites. The total is set at 217.

The Heat cover 83.3% of the time, having gone 10-2-1 ATS. Chicago is covering 46.7% of the time, going 7-8-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/20/2019 Justise Winslow SF Concussion Game Time Decision
11/20/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision
11/20/2019 Jr SF Hip Game Time Decision

Key Chicago Bulls Injuries

11/20/2019 Jr SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Dec 6
11/20/2019 Chandler Hutchison SF Lower Leg Game Time Decision
11/18/2019 Luke Kornet PF Nose Expected to be out until at least Nov 29
11/12/2019 Cristiano Felicio PF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Dec 21

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic comes into this contest averaging 15.8 points per game while playing 28.2 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 5.2 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 73%. Bam Adebayo averages 13.8 points per game in 32.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.5 assists per contest and 10.2 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 61% for the year while his free throw percentage is 61%.

Player Spotlight

Zach Lavine averages 19.8 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per game and has 4.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is at 80%. Lauri Markkanen averages 14.8 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.6 rebounds per contest and 1.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 37% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 112.2 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 8.5 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 40% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 44.3 rebounds per game and 26.2 assists per game, which ranks them 21st and 6th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 19.2 per game. The Heat allow 103.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 6th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 30% average from behind the arc, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.5 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 23.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 15th place in the league. They force 18.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 29th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Chicago is 21st in the league with 107.3 points per game this year. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -2.5. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 25th in the NBA. They are 20th in the league in rebounding with 45.1 boards per game, and 21st in assists per contest with 22.8. The Bulls are 17th in turnovers per game with 15.6. The Bulls surrender 109.8 points per contest, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 14th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 18th with 24.1 assists allowed per contest and 28th with 49.1 rebounds surrendered per game. The Bulls are 30th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 18.8 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 100.8, and their offensive rating of 109 is ranked 3rd. They are 12th in the NBA in pace with 102 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 22nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Chicago is 19th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 17th in the league. The Bulls are 29th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103.7, and their defensive rating of 106.1 is ranked 14th. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 103.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 27th. As a team they are 28th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Bulls NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Chicago +4

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