Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets NBA Picks & Predictions 12/1/2019

Game: Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets

Date: Sunday, December 1, 2019

Location: Barclays Center in Brooklyn, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -3.5

Total/Over-Under: 213.5

Spencer Dinwiddie and the Brooklyn Nets (10-9, 4th in the Atlantic Division) host the Miami Heat (13-5, 1st in the Southeast Division) at Barclays Center on Sunday, December 1, 2019. The spread on this game has Miami as 3.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 213.5.

The Heat are covering 76.5% of the time, having gone 13-4-1 ATS. Brooklyn covers the spread 47.4% of the time, going 9-10-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/29/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Game Time Decision
11/29/2019 Jr SF Hip Game Time Decision

Key Brooklyn Nets Injuries

11/29/2019 Kyrie Irving PG Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Dec 4
11/14/2019 Caris LeVert SG Thumb Expected to be out until at least Dec 14
10/31/2019 Kevin Durant SF Achilles Out for the season

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo comes into this contest averaging 13.8 points per game while playing 31.9 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 10.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 59% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 65%. Goran Dragic averages 15.5 points per game in 28.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 4.9 assists per contest and 3.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 46% for the year while his free throw percentage is 71%.

Player Spotlight

Spencer Dinwiddie averages 20.2 points per game while playing 28.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.6 rebounds per game and has 5.9 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 87%. Taurean Waller-Prince averages 13.2 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 30.2 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.9 rebounds per contest and 1.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 41% and his free throw percentage is 72%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 111.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.4 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 2nd in the league. They average 44.2 rebounds per game and 25.5 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 18.9 per game. The Heat allow 105.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 9th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from behind the arc, ranking them 9th and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 40.0 rebounds a game which ranks 2nd and they give up 23.5 assists per contest, which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 17.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 28th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Brooklyn is 11th in the league with 112.5 points per game this year. They are 19th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is -1.4. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 19th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.7 boards per game, and 17th in assists per contest with 23.8. The Nets are 8th in turnovers per game with 16.2. The Nets surrender 113.9 points per contest, which ranks them 21st in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 11th and 17th in those defensive statistics. They rank 4th with 21.9 assists allowed per contest and 24th with 46.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Nets are 6th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.8 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 103.5, and their offensive rating of 109.9 is ranked 6th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shot attempts, ranking 11th in the NBA. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Brooklyn is 10th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 20th in the league. The Nets are 16th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.9, and their defensive rating of 109.2 is ranked 16th. In terms of pace they are 7th in the league with 103.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 15th. As a team they are 17th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 6th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Nets NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -3.5

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