Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks NBA Picks & Predictions 10/31/2019

Thursday, October 31, 2019

State Farm Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

State Farm Arena is the venue where Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks (2-2, 2nd in the Southeast Division) will take on the Miami Heat (3-1, 1st in the Southeast Division) on Thursday. The spread on this game has Miami as 7.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 217.

The Heat are covering 100.0% of the time, having gone 3-0-1 ATS. Atlanta covers the spread 75.0% of the time, going 3-1-0 against the spread.

Key Miami Heat Injuries

10/28/2019 James Johnson PF Coach's Decision Expected to be out until at least Oct 31
10/28/2019 Jr SF Groin Expected to be out until at least Oct 31
10/28/2019 Dion Waiters SG Suspension Expected to be out until at least Oct 31

Key Atlanta Hawks Injuries

10/29/2019 Evan Turner SG Achilles Expected to be out until at least Oct 31
10/29/2019 Trae Young PG Ankle Game Time Decision
10/29/2019 Chandler Parsons SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Oct 31
10/18/2019 Allen Crabbe SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Nov 1

Player Spotlight

Goran Dragic comes into this contest averaging 19.5 points per game while playing 29.3 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.3 rebounds per game and dishes out 4.5 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 48% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 68%. Justise Winslow averages 14.8 points per game in 37.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 5.8 assists per contest and 8.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 38% for the year while his free throw percentage is 59%.

Player Spotlight

Trae Young averages 26.8 points per game while playing 29.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.0 rebounds per game and has 7.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. John Collins averages 18.3 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 9.3 rebounds per contest and 1.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 56% and his free throw percentage is 67%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 118.0 points per contest this season, which ranks them 7th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 8.0 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 6th. Behind the arc they shoot 40% which is good for 5th in the league. They average 48.8 rebounds per game and 23.8 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 16th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 1st with 22.5 per game. The Heat allow 110.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 15th in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 27% average from behind the arc, ranking them 10th and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 41.5 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 24.0 assists per contest, which puts them in 18th place in the league. They force 19.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 28th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Atlanta is 23rd in the league with 105.0 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 1.0. They shoot 32% from 3-point range, which is good for 21st in the NBA. They are 25th in the league in rebounding with 43.0 boards per game, and 9th in assists per contest with 25.0. The Hawks are 12th in turnovers per game with 18.0. The Hawks surrender 104.0 points per contest, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 41% shooting percentage and a 28% average from 3-point range, ranking them 4th and 4th in those defensive statistics. They rank 3rd with 19.0 assists allowed per contest and 16th with 45.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Hawks are 22nd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 18.5 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 14th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.7, and their defensive rating of 99.5 is ranked 8th. In terms of pace they are 4th in the league with 107.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 16th in the league. Miami is 1st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 18.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 16 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 49%, which is 20th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Atlanta is 9th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 46%, which is 26th in the league. The Hawks are 19th in the NBA in offensive rating with 103.2, and their defensive rating of 102.3 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 101.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 8th. As a team they are 12th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 15th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Hawks NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Atlanta +7.5

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