Miami Heat at Boston Celtics Expert NBA Picks 4/1/2019

Monday, April 1, 2019

TD Garden

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Miami Heat head to TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Monday, April 1, 2019. The opening line for this game has Boston as 7 point favorites.

The Heat have a record of 38-38. They are 1st in the Southeast Division. They have a point differential of 0.0 as they average 105.6 points per game while giving up 105.6 per contest. The Celtics have an overall mark of 45-32. They currently are 3rd in the Atlantic Division. They total 112.4 points per contest and give up 108.1, which is a point differential of 4.3.

Valuable Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat are 40-34-2 against the spread this season

The Miami Heat are 38-37-0 against the over/under this year

Important Boston Celtics Betting Trends

The Boston Celtics are 35-40-2 against the spread this season

The Boston Celtics are 43-34-0 against the over/under this year

Key Miami Heat Injuries

03/30/19 SF Josh Richardson Heel is questionable Monday vs Boston
03/30/19 SF Justise Winslow Thigh is questionable Monday vs Boston
03/30/19 G Rodney McGruder Knee is questionable Monday vs Boston

Key Boston Celtics Injuries

03/30/19 F Al Horford Knee is questionable Monday vs Miami
03/30/19 PG Kyrie Irving Rest is questionable Monday vs Miami

Player Spotlight

Hassan Whiteside comes into this game averaging 12.4 points per contest while playing 23.6 minutes per night this year. He grabs 11.4 rebounds per contest and distributes 0.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 56% while his free throw percentage is 46%. Goran Dragic averages 14.1 points per contest in 26.5 minutes per game. He averages 4.5 assists per game and 3.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 42% for the season while his free throw percentage is 78%.

Player Spotlight

Kyrie Irving scores 23.9 points per contest while playing 33.1 minutes per game. He hauls in 5.0 rebounds per contest and has 7.1 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 49% and his free throw percentage is at 87%. Jaylen Brown averages 13.0 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 26.0 minutes per game. He also brings in 4.3 rebounds per game and has 1.3 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is 66%.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami averages 105.6 points per contest, which is 26th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 0.0 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 20th. From 3-point territory they shoot 35%, which is good for 17th in the NBA. They average 46.2 boards per contest and 24.2 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 17th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 7th with 14.7 per game. The Heat allow 105.6 points per contest, which is 3rd in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 18th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 43.8 rebounds a game which ranks 7th, and they allow 23.2 assists per game which puts them in 5th place in the league. They force 14.2 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Boston is 14th in the NBA with 112.4 points per contest this season. They are 13th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 4.3. They shoot 37% from beyond the arc, which is good for 6th in the league. They are 22nd in the NBA in rebounding with 44.5 boards per contest and 6th in assists per game with 26.3. The Celtics are 28th in turnovers per contest with 12.9. The Celtics give up 108.1 points per game, which ranks them 9th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 45% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 5th and 7th in those defensive statistics. They rank 7th with 23.5 dimes allowed per game and 21st with 45.7 boards surrendered per contest. The Celtics are 24th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.2 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Heat are 26th in the league in defensive rating with 107.6, and their offensive rating of 107.6 is ranked 6th. They are 24th in the NBA in pace with 98 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 20th. As a unit they are 28th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 13th in the NBA. Miami is 6th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 25th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Boston is 27th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.5 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 20th in the league. The Celtics are 10th in the NBA in offensive rating with 112.2, and their defensive rating of 107.9 is ranked 7th. In terms of pace they are 17th in the league with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 10th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shots, ranking 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Heat/Celtics NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Miami +7

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