Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat NBA Point Spread Picks 10/23/2019

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

AmericanAirlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to AmericanAirlines Arena to play the Miami Heat on Wednesday, October 23, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Miami as 7.5 point favorites.

The Grizzlies come into this game after finishing last season with an overall record of 33-49. They were 3rd in the Southwest Division. They had a point differential of -2.6 as they averaged 103.5 points per game while giving up 106.1 per contest. The Heat had an overall mark of 39-43 last year. They were 3rd in the Southeast Division. They averaged 105.7 points per contest and gave up 106.0, which was a point differential of -0.3.

Valuable Memphis Grizzlies Betting Trends

The Memphis Grizzlies were 39-42-1 against the spread last season

The Memphis Grizzlies were 36-44-2 against the over/under last year

Important Miami Heat Betting Trends

The Miami Heat were 43-38-1 against the spread last season

The Miami Heat were 42-40-0 against the over/under last year

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

10/16/2019 De'Anthony Melton SG Back Expected to be out until at least Nov 1

Key Miami Heat Injuries

10/20/2019 Jr SF Thigh Game Time Decision
10/19/2019 James Johnson PF Coach's Decision Game Time Decision
10/19/2019 Udonis Haslem PF Wrist Game Time Decision
10/19/2019 KZ Okpala SF Illness Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Jonas Valanciunas averaged 15.6 points per game in 22.3 minutes per contest last season. He averaged 1.4 assists per contest and 8.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage was 56% for the year while his free throw percentage was 80%. Jaren Jackson comes into this contest after averaging 13.8 points per game while playing 26.1 minutes per night last season. He pulled down 4.7 rebounds per game and dished out 1.1 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage was 51% while his free throw percentage was at 77%.

Player Spotlight

Justise Winslow averaged 12.6 points per game last season and he saw the court an average of 29.7 minutes per contest. He also averaged 5.4 rebounds per contest and 4.3 assists per game. His field goal percentage was 43% and his free throw percentage was 63%. Jimmy Butler averaged 18.7 points per game while playing 33.6 minutes per contest last year. He grabbed 5.3 rebounds per game and had 4.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage was 46% and his free throw percentage finished at 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Grizzlies allowed 106.1 points per game to their opponents which ranked them 3rd in the league. They also allowed a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 21st in those defensive categories. Opponents averaged 44.7 rebounds a game which ranked 12th, and they gave up 23.4 assists per contest which put them in 6th place in the league. They forced 15.2 turnovers per game which ranked them 25th in the league. Memphis averaged 103.5 points per contest last season, which ranked them 30th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin was -2.6 and their shooting percentage was 45% as a team, which had them ranked 23rd. Behind the arc they shot 34% which was good for 25th in the league. They averaged 41.8 rebounds per game and 23.9 assists per game, which ranked them 29th and 19th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they ranked 16th with 14.0 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrendered 106.0 points per contest, which ranked them 2nd in the NBA. Their defense allowed a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 2nd and 17th in those defensive statistics. They ranked 4th with 23.3 assists allowed per contest, and 9th with 44.2 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat were 18th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.1 per game last season. Miami was 26th in the league with 105.7 points per game last year. They were 22nd in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin was -0.3. They shot 35% from 3-point range, which was good for 21st in the NBA. They were 10th in the league in rebounding with 46.3 boards per game and 17th in assists per contest with 24.3. The Heat were 8th in turnovers per game with 14.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Grizzlies were 27th in the league in defensive rating with 108.8, and their offensive rating of 106.1 was ranked 9th. They were 30th in the NBA in pace with 96.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 51% was 27th. As a unit they were 24th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 18th in the NBA. Memphis was 8th in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year was 52%, which was 16th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami was 5th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turned the ball over an average of 13.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season was 51%, which was 26th in the league. The Heat were 26th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.3, and their defensive rating of 107.6 was ranked 6th. In terms of pace they were 23rd in the league with 98.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% was 21st. As a team they were 27th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shot 3-pointers on 37% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Grizzlies/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -7.5

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