Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors - 12/9/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Monday, December 9, 2019

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State -4

Total/Over-Under: 216.5

Alec Burks and the Golden State Warriors (5-19, 5th in the Pacific Division) host the Memphis Grizzlies (6-16, 4th in the Southwest Division) at Chase Center on Monday, December 9, 2019. Golden State opens this matchup as 4 point favorites. The over/under opens at 216.5.

The Grizzlies are covering 36.4% of the time, having gone 8-14-0 ATS. Golden State covers the spread 45.8% of the time, going 11-13-0 against the spread.

Key Memphis Grizzlies Injuries

12/7/2019 Kyle Anderson SF Heel Expected to be out until at least Dec 9
12/6/2019 John Konchar SG Calf Game Time Decision
12/4/2019 Brandon Clarke SF Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 9
11/30/2019 Ja Morant PG Back Expected to be out until at least Dec 9
11/18/2019 Andre Iguodala SG Not Injury Related Expected to be out until at least Dec 15

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/6/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Feb 29
12/5/2019 Jacob Evans SG Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 9
12/5/2019 Damion Lee SG Hand Expected to be out until at least Dec 9
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Player Spotlight

Jonas Valanciunas comes into this game averaging 14.3 points per contest while playing 24.7 minutes per night this year. He grabs 9.8 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.9 assists per game. His FG percentage is 58% while his free throw percentage is 80%. Jaren Jackson averages 16.2 points per contest in 27.0 minutes per game. He averages 1.4 assists per game and 4.9 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% for the season while his free throw percentage is 81%.

Player Spotlight

Alec Burks scores 15.0 points per contest while playing 29.2 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.4 rebounds per contest and has 2.8 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 88%. Eric Paschall averages 17.1 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 31.9 minutes per game. He also brings in 5.3 rebounds per game and has 1.8 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 51% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Memphis averages 108.7 points per contest, which is 19th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -8.3 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a unit, which has them ranked 17th. From 3-point territory they shoot 34%, which is good for 24th in the NBA. They average 44.7 boards per contest and 26.3 assists per game, which ranks them 17th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 9th with 16.0 per game. The Grizzlies allow 117.0 points per contest, which is 27th in the NBA. They also surrender a 47% shooting percentage and a 38% average from 3-point range, ranking them 20th and 26th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 45.8 rebounds a game which ranks 21st, and they allow 25.5 assists per game which puts them in 24th place in the league. They force 15.3 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State is 27th in the NBA with 104.7 points per contest this season. They are 26th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -9.33. They shoot 33% from beyond the arc, which is good for 29th in the league. They are 23rd in the NBA in rebounding with 43.2 boards per contest and 17th in assists per game with 23.8. The Warriors are 18th in turnovers per contest with 14.9. The Warriors give up 114.0 points per game, which ranks them 21st in the league. Their defense surrenders a 48% shooting percentage and a 40% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 27th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.7 dimes allowed per game and 16th with 45.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Warriors are 19th in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.6 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Grizzlies are 26th in the NBA in offensive rating with 104.8, and their defensive rating of 112.8 is ranked 22nd. In terms of pace they are 6th in the league with 103.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 22nd. As a team they are 24th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 24th in the league. Memphis is 12th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.2 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 54%, which is 8th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Golden State is 17th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 4th in the league. The Warriors are 27th in the NBA in offensive rating with 104.3, and their defensive rating of 113.6 is ranked 25th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 99.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 29th. As a team they are 26th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shots, ranking 28th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Grizzlies/Warriors NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Memphis -4

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