Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Blazers - 12/6/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers

Date: Friday, December 6, 2019

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -4.5

Total/Over-Under: 222.5

LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers (19-3, 1st in the Pacific Division) are headed to Moda Center on Friday where they'll meet the Portland Trail Blazers (9-13, 4th in the Northwest Division). The line on this matchup has Los Angeles as 4.5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 222.5.

The Lakers are covering 59.1% of the time, having gone 13-9-0 ATS. Portland is covering the spread 47.6% of the time, going 10-11-1 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Lakers Injuries

12/4/2019 Anthony Davis PF Shoulder Game Time Decision
12/1/2019 Avery Bradley PG Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Dec 8
8/15/2019 DeMarcus Cousins C Knee Expected to be out until at least May 15

Key Portland Trail Blazers Injuries

12/4/2019 Jr SG Hamstring Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Zach Collins PF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Mar 15
7/6/2019 Jusuf Nurkic C Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Feb 1

Player Spotlight

Anthony Davis averages 26.0 points per game in 34.2 minutes per contest. He averages 3.2 assists per contest and 9.1 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 49% for the year while his free throw percentage is 86%. LeBron James comes into this contest averaging 25.4 points per game while playing 34.7 minutes per night. He pulls down 7.0 rebounds per game and dishes out 10.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is at 70%.

Player Spotlight

CJ McCollum averages 22.4 points per game and he sees the court an average of 36.5 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.5 rebounds per contest and 3.8 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 82%. Damian Lillard averages 26.6 points per game while playing 36.7 minutes per contest. He grabs 4.6 rebounds per game and has 7.4 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 91%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lakers allow 103.3 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 2nd in the league. They also allow a 43% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 5th and 5th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 42.5 rebounds a game which ranks 6th, and they give up 23.2 assists per contest which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 16.9 turnovers per game which ranks them 28th in the league. Los Angeles averages 112.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 12th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 9.0 and their shooting percentage is 48% as a team, which has them ranked 2nd. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 13th in the league. They average 45.4 rebounds per game and 26.5 assists per contest, which ranks them 15th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 18th with 14.9 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Blazers surrender 114.8 points per contest, which ranks them 24th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 7th in those defensive statistics. They rank 14th with 23.5 assists allowed per contest, and 28th with 48.3 rebounds surrendered per game. The Blazers are 4th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.5 per game. Portland is 9th in the league with 113.5 points per game this year. They are 14th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -1.4. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 7th in the NBA. They are 8th in the league in rebounding with 46.6 boards per game and 29th in assists per contest with 20.3. The Blazers are 27th in turnovers per game with 13.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Lakers are 7th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.2, and their defensive rating of 102.4 is ranked 3rd. In terms of pace they are 16th in the league with 100.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 6th. As a team they are 9th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 26th in the league. Los Angeles is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 27th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Portland is 28th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 22nd in the NBA. The Blazers are 10th in the league in defensive rating with 111.6, and their offensive rating of 110.3 is ranked 21st. They are 9th in the NBA in pace with 102.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 17th. As a unit they are 13th in the league in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 36% of their shot attempts, ranking 18th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Lakers/Blazers NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Portland -4.5

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