Los Angeles Lakers vs. Miami Heat - 12/13/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, December 13, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles -1.5

Total/Over-Under: 224

American Airlines Arena is the venue where Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (18-6, 1st in the Southeast Division) will play the Los Angeles Lakers (22-3, 1st in the Pacific Division) on Friday. The odds on this contest have Los Angeles as 1.5 point favorites. The O/U has been set at 224.

The Lakers are covering the spread 64.0% of the time, having gone 16-9-0 ATS. Miami is covering 65.2% of the time, going 15-8-1 against the spread.

Key Los Angeles Lakers Injuries

12/11/2019 Kyle Kuzma PF Ankle Game Time Decision
12/9/2019 Rajon Rondo PG Hamstring Game Time Decision
8/15/2019 DeMarcus Cousins C Knee Expected to be out until at least May 15

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/11/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Game Time Decision
12/11/2019 Goran Dragic PG Groin Game Time Decision
12/11/2019 James Johnson PF Illness Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

LeBron James averages 25.8 points per contest in 34.5 minutes per game this year. He averages 10.8 assists per game and 7.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 50% for the season while his free throw percentage is 69%. Anthony Davis comes into this game averaging 27.2 points per contest while playing 34.5 minutes per night. He grabs 9.2 rebounds per contest and distributes 3.4 assists per game. His FG percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is 87%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 35.1 minutes per game. He also hauls in 6.9 rebounds per game and dishes 7.0 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 43% and his free throw percentage is 83%. Bam Adebayo scores 15.3 points per contest while playing 33.5 minutes per game. He hauls in 10.5 rebounds per contest and has 4.4 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 59% and his free throw percentage is at 66%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Lakers allow 103.9 points per contest which is 5th in the NBA. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 6th and 5th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 41.6 rebounds a game which ranks 4th, and they allow 23.1 assists per game which puts them in 10th place in the league. They force 16.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 27th in the NBA. Los Angeles averages 113.8 points per contest, which is 8th in the league. Their average scoring margin is 9.8 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a unit, which has them ranked 1st. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They average 45.4 boards per contest and 26.4 assists per game, which ranks them 15th and 4th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 19th with 14.9 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat give up 106.2 points per game, which ranks them 8th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 7th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 13th with 23.8 dimes allowed per game and 2nd with 40.8 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 22nd in the league in forcing turnovers with 15.8 per contest. Miami is 12th in the NBA with 112.0 points per contest this season. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 5.8. They shoot 38% from beyond the arc, which is good for 3rd in the league. They are 13th in the NBA in rebounding with 45.4 boards per contest and 8th in assists per game with 25.3. The Heat are 1st in turnovers per contest with 17.7.

Advanced Statistics

The Lakers are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 102.8, and their offensive rating of 112.5 is ranked 3rd. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 100.7 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 3rd. As a unit they are 5th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 26th in the NBA. Los Angeles is 17th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.2 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.8 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 50%, which is 26th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 15.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA. The Heat are 9th in the league in defensive rating with 104.7, and their offensive rating of 110.5 is ranked 8th. They are 19th in the NBA in pace with 99.6 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 55% is 2nd. As a unit they are 2nd in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlays Pundit's Pick: Take Miami +1.5 and over 224 total points

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