Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat - 12/27/19 NBA Picks, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, December 27, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -5

Total/Over-Under: 216

Malcolm Brogdon and the Indiana Pacers (21-10, 2nd in the Central Division) head to American Airlines Arena on Friday where they'll take on the Miami Heat (22-8, 1st in the Southeast Division). Miami opens this contest as 5 point favorites. The O/U opens at 216.

The Pacers are covering 56.7% of the time, having gone 17-13-1 ATS. Miami is covering 65.5% of the time, going 19-10-1 against the spread.

Key Indiana Pacers Injuries

12/25/2019 Victor Oladipo SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jan 27
12/23/2019 Malcolm Brogdon PG Groin Game Time Decision
12/23/2019 Naz Mitrou-Long SG Ankle Game Time Decision

Key Miami Heat Injuries

12/23/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Malcolm Brogdon comes into this contest averaging 18.3 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.5 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 93%. Domantas Sabonis averages 17.8 points per game in 34.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 3.9 assists per contest and 13.5 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 74%.

Player Spotlight

Jimmy Butler averages 20.4 points per game while playing 35.3 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 6.5 rebounds per game and has 6.6 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 83%. Bam Adebayo averages 15.7 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 34.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.6 rebounds per contest and 4.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 57% and his free throw percentage is 69%.

Useful Team Statistics

Indiana averages 109.1 points per contest this season, which ranks them 19th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.2 and their shooting percentage is 47% as a team, which has them ranked 7th. Behind the arc they shoot 37% which is good for 6th in the league. They average 44.5 rebounds per game and 25.5 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 8th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 28th with 13.5 per game. The Pacers allow 105.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 4th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the arc, ranking them 6th and 3rd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.8 rebounds a game which ranks 11th and they give up 23.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 9th place in the league. They force 14.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 10th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 9th in the league with 112.5 points per game this year. They are 4th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.2. They shoot 39% from 3-point range, which is good for 1st in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 45.3 boards per game, and 9th in assists per contest with 25.2. The Heat are 2nd in turnovers per game with 16.8. The Heat surrender 107.3 points per contest, which ranks them 10th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 32% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 2nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 14th with 24.0 assists allowed per contest and 2nd with 41.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 19th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 15.3 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Pacers are 17th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.2, and their defensive rating of 105.1 is ranked 8th. In terms of pace they are 24th in the league with 98.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 15th. As a team they are 16th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 31% of their shots, ranking 29th in the league. Indiana is 25th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.9 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 50%, which is 28th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.5 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 19th in the league. The Heat are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 111.3, and their defensive rating of 106.2 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 20th in the league with 99.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 2nd. As a team they are 2nd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Pacers/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Indiana +5

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