Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 12/3/2019

Game: Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

Date: Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Location: AT&T Center in San Antonio, TX

TV: Fox Sports Southwest - San Antonio

Odds/Point Spread: Houston -4

Total/Over-Under: 222

AT&T Center is the site where Bryn Forbes and the San Antonio Spurs (7-14, 3rd in the Southwest Division) will play the Houston Rockets (13-6, 2nd in the Southwest Division) on Tuesday. Houston opens this matchup as 4 point favorites. The over/under is set at 222.

The Rockets are covering 52.6% of the time, having gone 10-9-0 ATS. San Antonio is covering the spread 23.8% of the time, going 5-16-0 against the spread.

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

12/1/2019 Clint Capela C Illness Game Time Decision
12/1/2019 Nene C Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 3
12/1/2019 Jr SF Illness Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Eric Gordon SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 13
10/28/2019 Gerald Green SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Apr 15

Key San Antonio Spurs Injuries

12/1/2019 Chimezie Metu PF Foot Game Time Decision
12/1/2019 LaMarcus Aldridge PF Thigh Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

James Harden comes into this contest averaging 38.9 points per game while playing 36.8 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 5.9 rebounds per game and dishes out 7.8 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 87%. Russell Westbrook averages 22.1 points per game in 33.2 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.9 assists per contest and 7.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 43% for the year while his free throw percentage is 72%.

Player Spotlight

Bryn Forbes averages 12.5 points per game while playing 26.8 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 2.5 rebounds per game and has 2.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is at 91%. DeMar DeRozan averages 21.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 33.6 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.5 rebounds per contest and 4.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 53% and his free throw percentage is 82%.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston averages 120.3 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.8 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 16th. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 25th in the league. They average 47.3 rebounds per game and 21.6 assists per game, which ranks them 6th and 26th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 15th with 15.3 per game. The Rockets allow 114.5 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 23rd in the league. They also allow a 46% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 16th and 14th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.2 rebounds a game which ranks 20th and they give up 25.6 assists per contest, which puts them in 26th place in the league. They force 16.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

San Antonio is 14th in the league with 110.9 points per game this year. They are 8th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is -4.3. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 20th in the NBA. They are 15th in the league in rebounding with 45.3 boards per game, and 15th in assists per contest with 24.0. The Spurs are 28th in turnovers per game with 13.3. The Spurs surrender 115.1 points per contest, which ranks them 25th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 48% shooting percentage and a 39% average from 3-point range, ranking them 27th and 29th in those defensive statistics. They rank 28th with 26.2 assists allowed per contest and 8th with 44.5 rebounds surrendered per game. The Spurs are 1st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 12.8 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Rockets are 2nd in the league in defensive rating with 109, and their offensive rating of 114.5 is ranked 15th. They are 3rd in the NBA in pace with 105 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 8th. As a unit they are 3rd in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 51% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the NBA. Houston is 19th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 53%, which is 14th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

San Antonio is 28th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.4 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 6th in the NBA. The Spurs are 12th in the league in defensive rating with 114.1, and their offensive rating of 109.9 is ranked 27th. They are 14th in the NBA in pace with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 20th. As a unit they are 18th in the league in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 29% of their shot attempts, ranking 30th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Spurs NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Houston -4

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