Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat Expert NBA Picks 11/3/2019

Sunday, November 3, 2019

AmericanAirlines Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

AmericanAirlines Arena is the site where Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (4-1, 1st in the Southeast Division) will take on the Houston Rockets (3-2, 2nd in the Southwest Division) on Sunday. Houston opens this contest as 2 point favorites. The total has been set at 226.

The Rockets cover the spread 0.0% of the time, having gone 0-5-0 ATS. Miami is covering 100.0% of the time, going 4-0-1 against the spread.

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

11/2/2019 Michael Frazier SG Ankle Game Time Decision
10/28/2019 Gerald Green SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Apr 15
10/21/2019 Nene C Hip Expected to be out until at least Nov 15

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/2/2019 Jimmy Butler SF Foot Game Time Decision
11/2/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Expected to be out until at least Nov 5
11/2/2019 Jr SF Groin Expected to be out until at least Nov 5
11/1/2019 Justise Winslow SF Back Game Time Decision
10/31/2019 James Johnson PF Coach's Decision Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

James Harden comes into this game averaging 36.6 points per contest while playing 36.8 minutes per night this year. He grabs 4.4 rebounds per contest and distributes 8.6 assists per game. His FG percentage is 37% while his free throw percentage is 95%. Russell Westbrook averages 23.4 points per contest in 34.6 minutes per game. He averages 9.8 assists per game and 11.0 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 48% for the season while his free throw percentage is 70%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo scores 15.0 points per contest while playing 32.6 minutes per game. He hauls in 9.8 rebounds per contest and has 5.2 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 58% and his free throw percentage is at 68%. Goran Dragic averages 16.4 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 27.2 minutes per game. He also brings in 3.6 rebounds per game and has 4.2 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 70%.

Useful Team Statistics

Houston averages 125.6 points per contest, which is 1st in the league. Their average scoring margin is -1.0 and their shooting percentage is 44% as a unit, which has them ranked 17th. From 3-point territory they shoot 31%, which is good for 26th in the NBA. They average 45.2 boards per contest and 25.6 assists per game, which ranks them 18th and 5th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 23rd with 14.4 per game. The Rockets allow 126.6 points per contest, which is 30th in the NBA. They also surrender a 50% shooting percentage and a 43% average from 3-point range, ranking them 28th and 30th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 48.4 rebounds a game which ranks 23rd, and they allow 27.4 assists per game which puts them in 28th place in the league. They force 16.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 16th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Miami is 7th in the NBA with 115.6 points per contest this season. They are 7th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 8.2. They shoot 39% from beyond the arc, which is good for 3rd in the league. They are 11th in the NBA in rebounding with 47.2 boards per contest and 9th in assists per game with 24.8. The Heat are 1st in turnovers per contest with 20.8. The Heat give up 107.4 points per game, which ranks them 13th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 43% shooting percentage and a 26% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 14th with 23.2 dimes allowed per game and 6th with 43.2 boards surrendered per contest. The Heat are 25th in the league in forcing turnovers with 18.8 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Rockets are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 116.4, and their offensive rating of 115.5 is ranked 29th. They are 1st in the NBA in pace with 108.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 52% is 13th. As a unit they are 10th in the league in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 50% of their shot attempts, ranking 1st in the NBA. Houston is 26th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 11.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.9 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 59%, which is 2nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 2nd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17.3 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 48%, which is 23rd in the league. The Heat are 13th in the NBA in offensive rating with 107.4, and their defensive rating of 99.8 is ranked 6th. In terms of pace they are 8th in the league with 105.4 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 55% is 6th. As a team they are 5th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 13th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Houston -2

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