Houston Rockets at Utah Jazz Game 4 Expert Predictions 4/22/2019

Monday, April 22, 2019

Vivint Smart Home Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Houston Rockets travel to Vivint Smart Home Arena on Monday where they'll meet Ricky Rubio and the Utah Jazz in Game 4 of their Playoff series. The Rockets lead the series 3-0 after winning 104-101 in Game 3 on Saturday. Houston opens as 1-point favorites. The over/under is 212.5. The Rockets (53-29, 1st in the Southwest Division) cover the spread 52% of the time, going 43-39-3 this year. The Jazz (50-32, 3rd in the Northwest Division) have an ATS record of 44-39-2, so they cover 53% of the time. As the favorite, Houston covers the spread 51% of the time, while Utah has covered 58% of the time as an underdog this season.

Valuable Houston Rockets Betting Trends

The Houston Rockets are 42-39-3 against the spread

The Houston Rockets are 39-41-0 against the over/under

Important Utah Jazz Betting Trends

The Utah Jazz are 44-38-2 against the spread

The Utah Jazz are 40-42-0 against the over/under

Key Houston Rockets Injuries

No key injuries to report

Key Utah Jazz Injuries

03/18/19 PG Dante Exum Knee is out indefinitely

Player Spotlight

Clint Capela averages 16.6 points per game in 33.6 minutes per contest. He averages 1.4 assists per contest and 12.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 65% for the year while his free throw percentage is 64%. Eric Gordon comes into this contest averaging 16.2 points per game while playing 31.7 minutes per night. He pulls down 2.2 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.9 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 41% while his free throw percentage is at 78%.

Player Spotlight

Joe Ingles averages 12.1 points per game and he sees the court an average of 31.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 4.0 rebounds per contest and 5.7 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 71%. Ricky Rubio averages 12.7 points per game while playing 27.9 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.6 rebounds per game and has 6.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is at 86%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Rockets allow 109.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 10th in the league. They also allow a 47% shooting percentage and a 34% average from behind the arc, ranking them 19th and 2nd in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.4 rebounds a game which ranks 16th, and they give up 23.5 assists per contest which puts them in 7th place in the league. They force 15.0 turnovers per game which ranks them 22nd in the league. Houston averages 113.9 points per contest this season, which ranks them 11th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 4.8 and their shooting percentage is 45% as a team, which has them ranked 25th. Behind the arc they shoot 36% which is good for 11th in the league. They average 42.1 rebounds per game and 21.2 assists per contest, which ranks them 28th and 28th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 25th with 13.3 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Jazz surrender 106.5 points per contest, which ranks them 4th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 8th and 15th in those defensive statistics. They rank 1st with 21.6 assists allowed per contest, and 2nd with 42.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Jazz are 16th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.9 per game. Utah is 17th in the league with 111.7 points per game this year. They are 11th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 5.3. They shoot 36% from 3-point range, which is good for 12th in the NBA. They are 9th in the league in rebounding with 46.4 boards per game and 8th in assists per contest with 26.0. The Jazz are 4th in turnovers per game with 15.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Rockets are 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 115.5, and their defensive rating of 110.7 is ranked 17th. In terms of pace they are 26th in the league with 97.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 4th. As a team they are 3rd in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 52% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league. Houston is 22nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 13th in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Utah is 3rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 29th in the league. The Jazz are 15th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.9, and their defensive rating of 105.7 is ranked 2nd. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 100.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 5th. As a team they are 8th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 39% of their shots, ranking 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Rockets/Jazz NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Houston -1

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