Golden State at Dallas Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 1/13/2019

Sunday, January 13, 2019

American Airlines Center

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

The Golden State Warriors travel to American Airlines Center to play the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday, January 13, 2019. The opening line for this matchup has Golden State as 6.5 point favorites.

The Warriors have a record of 28-14. They are 1st in the Pacific Division. They have a point differential of 5.7 as they average 117.4 points per game while giving up 111.7 per contest. The Mavericks have an overall record of 20-22 this season. They are 4th in the Southwest Division. They average 109.9 points per game and surrender 109.4, good for a point differential of 0.5.

Valuable Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Golden State Warriors are 17-24-0 against the spread

The Golden State Warriors are 21-20-0 against the over/under

Important Dallas Mavericks Betting Trends

The Dallas Mavericks are 24-17-0 against the spread

The Dallas Mavericks are 19-21-0 against the over/under

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/02/18 C Damian Jones Shoulder is out indefinitely
01/11/19 F DeMarcus Cousins Achilles is out indefinitely - expected to return Jan. 18th

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

01/12/19 PG J.J. Barea Achilles injured last game, is out Sunday vs Golden State
01/11/19 PG Dennis Smith Jr. Back is questionable Sunday vs Golden State

Player Spotlight

Klay Thompson comes into this contest averaging 21.8 points per game while playing 34.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.1 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.0 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 45% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 80%. Kevin Durant averages 28.2 points per game in 35.6 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.1 assists per contest and 7.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 91%.

Player Spotlight

Harrison Barnes averages 18.1 points per game while playing 32.1 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 4.2 rebounds per game and has 1.1 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 42% and his free throw percentage is at 84%. Luka Doncic averages 20.0 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 6.7 rebounds per contest and 5.0 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is 74%.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State averages 117.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 1st in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 5.7 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 38% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 46.1 rebounds per game and 28.5 assists per game, which ranks them 9th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 12th with 14.2 per game. The Warriors allow 111.7 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 20th in the league. They also allow a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 7th and 8th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 43.0 rebounds a game which ranks 4th and they give up 24.0 assists per contest, which puts them in 14th place in the league. They force 12.8 turnovers per game which ranks them 5th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

Dallas is 19th in the league with 109.9 points per game this year. They are 21st in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 0.5. They shoot 35% from 3-point range, which is good for 20th in the NBA. They are 10th in the league in rebounding with 46.0 boards per game, and 23rd in assists per contest with 22.6. The Mavericks are 3rd in turnovers per game with 15.4. The Mavericks surrender 109.4 points per contest, which ranks them 13th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 34% average from 3-point range, ranking them 17th and 6th in those defensive statistics. They rank 20th with 24.6 assists allowed per contest and 8th with 43.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 18th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.9 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 110.3, and their offensive rating of 116 is ranked 16th. They are 10th in the NBA in pace with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 37% of their shot attempts, ranking 12th in the NBA. Golden State is 10th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.2 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 21st in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 3rd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 12.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 16th in the league. The Mavericks are 18th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.4, and their defensive rating of 108.9 is ranked 11th. In terms of pace they are 11th in the league with 100 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 52% is 17th. As a team they are 13th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 4th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Dallas +6.5

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