Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 11/17/2019

Game: Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Date: Sunday, November 17, 2019

Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, LA

TV: Fox Sports New Orleans

Odds/Point Spread: New Orleans -2.5

Total/Over-Under: 220

Jrue Holiday and the New Orleans Pelicans (3-8, 5th in the Southwest Division) host the Golden State Warriors (2-11, 5th in the Pacific Division) at Smoothie King Center on Sunday, November 17, 2019. Golden State opens this game as 2.5 point dogs. The O/U opens at 220.

The Warriors are covering 38.5% of the time, having gone 5-8-0 ATS. New Orleans is covering 45.5% of the time, going 5-6-0 against the spread.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

11/16/2019 D'Angelo Russell SG Thumb Game Time Decision
11/12/2019 Damion Lee SG Hand Expected to be out until at least Nov 27
11/12/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Mar 5
11/7/2019 Kevon Looney PF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Nov 25
10/31/2019 Jacob Evans SG Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Key New Orleans Pelicans Injuries

11/15/2019 Josh Hart SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Nov 17
11/15/2019 JJ Redick SG Toe Game Time Decision
11/14/2019 Jahlil Okafor C Ankle Game Time Decision
11/14/2019 Lonzo Ball PG Hip Game Time Decision
11/14/2019 Brandon Ingram SF Knee Game Time Decision
10/21/2019 Zion Williamson SF Knee Expected to be out until at least Dec 9
8/29/2019 Darius Miller SF Achilles Expected to be out until at least Apr 1

Player Spotlight

D'Angelo Russell comes into this contest averaging 24.3 points per game while playing 31.5 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 3.6 rebounds per game and dishes out 6.7 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 46% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 76%. Eric Paschall averages 15.6 points per game in 30.8 minutes per contest this season. He averages 1.3 assists per contest and 4.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 51% for the year while his free throw percentage is 85%.

Player Spotlight

Jrue Holiday averages 17.0 points per game while playing 35.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 5.1 rebounds per game and has 7.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 75%. Brandon Ingram averages 25.9 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 32.1 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.3 rebounds per contest and 3.9 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 54% and his free throw percentage is 72%.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State averages 109.5 points per contest this season, which ranks them 17th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -10.4 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 26th. Behind the arc they shoot 32% which is good for 27th in the league. They average 44.4 rebounds per game and 24.0 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 15th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 21st with 15.1 per game. The Warriors allow 119.8 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 29th in the league. They also allow a 49% shooting percentage and a 39% average from behind the arc, ranking them 29th and 30th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 47.0 rebounds a game which ranks 22nd and they give up 26.8 assists per contest, which puts them in 29th place in the league. They force 15.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 15th in the league.

Useful Team Statistics

New Orleans is 2nd in the league with 118.4 points per game this year. They are 10th in the league in shooting at 46%, while their average scoring margin is -4.5. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They are 13th in the league in rebounding with 46.5 boards per game, and 4th in assists per contest with 26.7. The Pelicans are 4th in turnovers per game with 17.5. The Pelicans surrender 122.8 points per contest, which ranks them 30th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 47% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 26th and 19th in those defensive statistics. They rank 26th with 25.8 assists allowed per contest and 21st with 46.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Pelicans are 25th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 17.2 per game.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 20th in the NBA in offensive rating with 106.2, and their defensive rating of 116.3 is ranked 30th. In terms of pace they are 14th in the league with 102.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 27th. As a team they are 25th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shots, ranking 23rd in the league. Golden State is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.3 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 56%, which is 2nd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

New Orleans is 11th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14.1 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 5th in the league. The Pelicans are 8th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.5, and their defensive rating of 113.6 is ranked 28th. In terms of pace they are 2nd in the league with 107.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 54% is 6th. As a team they are 8th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 42% of their shots, ranking 4th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Pelicans NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take New Orleans -2.5

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