Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat NBA Point Spread Picks 11/29/2019

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Date: Friday, November 29, 2019

Location: American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL

TV: Fox Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Miami -12.5

Total/Over-Under: 224

Eric Paschall and the Golden State Warriors (4-15, 5th in the Pacific Division) travel to American Airlines Arena on Friday where they'll meet the Miami Heat (12-5, 1st in the Southeast Division). Miami opens this contest as 12.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 222.

The Warriors are covering 47.4% of the time, having gone 9-10-0 ATS. Miami is covering 75.0% of the time, going 12-4-1 against the spread.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

11/27/2019 Kevon Looney PF Hamstring Game Time Decision
11/27/2019 Damion Lee SG Hand Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
11/19/2019 Jacob Evans SG Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 10
11/16/2019 D'Angelo Russell SG Thumb Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
11/12/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Mar 5
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Key Miami Heat Injuries

11/27/2019 KZ Okpala SF Achilles Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
11/27/2019 Jr SF Hip Game Time Decision
11/27/2019 Jimmy Butler SF Illness Game Time Decision

Player Spotlight

Alec Burks averages 14.9 points per game in 28.4 minutes per contest. He averages 2.8 assists per contest and 4.7 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 40% for the year while his free throw percentage is 90%. Eric Paschall comes into this contest averaging 17.0 points per game while playing 31.4 minutes per night. He pulls down 5.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.6 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 50% while his free throw percentage is at 81%.

Player Spotlight

Bam Adebayo averages 14.5 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.4 minutes per contest. He also averages 10.4 rebounds per contest and 4.5 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 60% and his free throw percentage is 65%. Goran Dragic averages 15.2 points per game while playing 28.8 minutes per contest. He grabs 3.2 rebounds per game and has 5.0 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is at 70%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors allow 116.1 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 26th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 40% average from behind the arc, ranking them 27th and 30th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 46.3 rebounds a game which ranks 21st, and they give up 26.4 assists per contest which puts them in 28th place in the league. They force 15.7 turnovers per game which ranks them 18th in the league. Golden State averages 107.4 points per contest this season, which ranks them 20th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -8.7 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 26th. Behind the arc they shoot 33% which is good for 27th in the league. They average 44.1 rebounds per game and 24.8 assists per contest, which ranks them 21st and 11th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 23rd with 14.5 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Heat surrender 105.1 points per contest, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 44% shooting percentage and a 31% average from 3-point range, ranking them 9th and 1st in those defensive statistics. They rank 14th with 23.8 assists allowed per contest, and 2nd with 40.6 rebounds surrendered per game. The Heat are 29th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 17.5 per game. Miami is 14th in the league with 110.9 points per game this year. They are 3rd in the league in shooting at 48%, while their average scoring margin is 5.8. They shoot 39% from 3-point range, which is good for 2nd in the NBA. They are 22nd in the league in rebounding with 44.0 boards per game and 7th in assists per contest with 25.6. The Heat are 1st in turnovers per game with 19.1.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 24th in the NBA in offensive rating with 105.4, and their defensive rating of 113.9 is ranked 27th. In terms of pace they are 13th in the league with 101.3 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 29th. As a team they are 27th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 33% of their shots, ranking 27th in the league. Golden State is 22nd in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.6 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 55%, which is 3rd in the league.

Advanced Statistics

Miami is 1st in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 17 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.4 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 51%, which is 21st in the league. The Heat are 14th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109.1, and their defensive rating of 103.3 is ranked 5th. In terms of pace they are 14th in the league with 101.1 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 56% is 1st. As a team they are 1st in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 59% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Heat NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Miami -12.5

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