Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Expert NBA Picks Against the Spread 11/6/2019
Wednesday, November 6, 2019
Toyota Center
Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.
Eric Paschall and the Golden State Warriors (2-5, 5th in the Pacific Division) head to Toyota Center on Wednesday where they'll take on the Houston Rockets (4-3, 3rd in the Southwest Division). Houston opens this matchup as 6.5 point favorites. The over/under is set at 218.
The Warriors are covering the spread 28.6% of the time, having gone 2-5-0 ATS. Houston is covering 14.3% of the time, going 1-6-0 against the spread.
Key Golden State Warriors Injuries
11/4/2019 D'Angelo Russell SG Ankle Expected to be out until at least Nov 6
11/4/2019 Kevon Looney PF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Nov 8
11/2/2019 Draymond Green PF Finger Expected to be out until at least Nov 8
11/1/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Feb 18
10/31/2019 Jacob Evans SG Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1
Key Houston Rockets Injuries
11/4/2019 Michael Frazier SG Ankle Game Time Decision
10/28/2019 Gerald Green SG Foot Expected to be out until at least Apr 15
10/21/2019 Nene C Hip Expected to be out until at least Nov 15
Player Spotlight
Eric Paschall comes into this contest averaging 16.7 points per game while playing 29.6 minutes per night this season. He pulls down 4.4 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 60% while his free throw percentage currently sits at 86%. D'Angelo Russell averages 19.0 points per game in 30.4 minutes per contest this season. He averages 6.4 assists per contest and 3.6 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 39% for the year while his free throw percentage is 71%.
Player Spotlight
Russell Westbrook averages 21.2 points per game while playing 33.2 minutes per contest this year. He grabs 9.8 rebounds per game and has 9.2 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 46% and his free throw percentage is at 67%. James Harden averages 36.6 points per game this season and he sees the court an average of 35.3 minutes per contest. He also averages 5.1 rebounds per contest and 7.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 38% and his free throw percentage is 92%.
Useful Team Statistics
Golden State averages 111.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 15th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -8.7 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 22nd. Behind the arc they shoot 34% which is good for 19th in the league. They average 44.4 rebounds per game and 25.9 assists per game, which ranks them 20th and 7th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 24th with 14.7 per game. The Warriors allow 120.4 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 28th in the league. They also allow a 49% shooting percentage and a 38% average from behind the arc, ranking them 30th and 24th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 45.6 rebounds a game which ranks 13th and they give up 26.1 assists per contest, which puts them in 26th place in the league. They force 15.1 turnovers per game which ranks them 9th in the league.
Useful Team Statistics
Houston is 3rd in the league with 119.3 points per game this year. They are 25th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -3.9. They shoot 31% from 3-point range, which is good for 27th in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 45.0 boards per game, and 15th in assists per contest with 23.9. The Rockets are 17th in turnovers per game with 15.9. The Rockets surrender 123.1 points per contest, which ranks them 29th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 49% shooting percentage and a 40% average from 3-point range, ranking them 29th and 30th in those defensive statistics. They rank 30th with 27.7 assists allowed per contest and 26th with 48.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Rockets are 19th in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 16.7 per game.
Advanced Statistics
The Warriors are 11th in the NBA in offensive rating with 109, and their defensive rating of 117.5 is ranked 30th. In terms of pace they are 15th in the league with 102.5 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 23rd. As a team they are 18th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 55% and they shoot 3-pointers on 35% of their shots, ranking 21st in the league. Golden State is 25th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.7 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 56%, which is 2nd in the league.
Advanced Statistics
Houston is 22nd in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13 times per 100 possessions while forcing 14 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 57%, which is 1st in the league. The Rockets are 5th in the NBA in offensive rating with 110.3, and their defensive rating of 113.9 is ranked 28th. In terms of pace they are 1st in the league with 108.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 51% is 18th. As a team they are 13th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 56% and they shoot 3-pointers on 52% of their shots, ranking 1st in the league.
Who will win tonight's Warriors/Rockets NBA game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Houston -6.5
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