Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Point Spread Picks 11/20/2019

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Dallas -12

Total/Over-Under: 224.5

American Airlines Center is the site where Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (8-5, 2nd in the Southwest Division) will take on the Golden State Warriors (2-12, 5th in the Pacific Division) on Wednesday. Dallas opens this contest as 12 point favorites. The over/under has been set at 224.5.

The Warriors cover the spread 35.7% of the time, having gone 5-9-0 ATS. Dallas covers the spread 46.2% of the time, going 6-7-0 against the spread.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

11/16/2019 D'Angelo Russell SG Thumb Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
11/12/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Mar 5
11/12/2019 Damion Lee SG Hand Expected to be out until at least Nov 27
11/7/2019 Kevon Looney PF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Nov 25
10/31/2019 Jacob Evans SG Hip Expected to be out until at least Dec 1
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Key Dallas Mavericks Injuries

No key injuries to report

Player Spotlight

Alec Burks averages 13.5 points per game in 26.1 minutes per contest. He averages 2.4 assists per contest and 3.9 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 41% for the year while his free throw percentage is 88%. Eric Paschall comes into this contest averaging 16.7 points per game while playing 31.2 minutes per night. He pulls down 4.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 1.3 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 52% while his free throw percentage is at 84%.

Player Spotlight

Kristaps Porzingis averages 18.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 32.0 minutes per contest. He also averages 8.9 rebounds per contest and 1.6 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 40% and his free throw percentage is 72%. Luka Doncic averages 29.5 points per game while playing 35.0 minutes per contest. He grabs 10.7 rebounds per game and has 9.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 48% and his free throw percentage is at 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors allow 119.0 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 28th in the league. They also allow a 48% shooting percentage and a 39% average from behind the arc, ranking them 28th and 30th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 47.1 rebounds a game which ranks 22nd, and they give up 26.6 assists per contest which puts them in 29th place in the league. They force 15.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 13th in the league. Golden State averages 108.8 points per contest this season, which ranks them 18th in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is -10.2 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a team, which has them ranked 27th. Behind the arc they shoot 32% which is good for 27th in the league. They average 44.3 rebounds per game and 23.9 assists per contest, which ranks them 23rd and 14th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 22nd with 14.9 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Mavericks surrender 110.8 points per contest, which ranks them 17th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 46% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 18th and 22nd in those defensive statistics. They rank 11th with 23.1 assists allowed per contest, and 18th with 46.4 rebounds surrendered per game. The Mavericks are 3rd in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 13.3 per game. Dallas is 8th in the league with 114.1 points per game this year. They are 14th in the league in shooting at 45%, while their average scoring margin is 3.2. They shoot 34% from 3-point range, which is good for 23rd in the NBA. They are 3rd in the league in rebounding with 47.5 boards per game and 13th in assists per contest with 24.1. The Mavericks are 26th in turnovers per game with 13.8.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 21st in the league in defensive rating with 115.8, and their offensive rating of 105.8 is ranked 30th. They are 15th in the NBA in pace with 102 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 49% is 28th. As a unit they are 25th in the league in true shooting percentage with 54% and they shoot 3-pointers on 34% of their shot attempts, ranking 25th in the NBA. Golden State is 21st in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.8 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.3 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 56%, which is 2nd in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Dallas is 26th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.1 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 53%, which is 14th in the league. The Mavericks are 1st in the NBA in offensive rating with 113.4, and their defensive rating of 110.2 is ranked 18th. In terms of pace they are 23rd in the league with 99.8 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 53% is 11th. As a team they are 8th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 57% and they shoot 3-pointers on 44% of their shots, ranking 3rd in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Mavericks NBA game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Dallas -12

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