Golden State Warriors vs. Chicago Bulls - 12/6/19 NBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls

Date: Friday, December 6, 2019

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: NBC Sports Chicago

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago -6.5

Total/Over-Under: 214.5

Zach Lavine and the Chicago Bulls (8-14, 3rd in the Central Division) host the Golden State Warriors (4-19, 5th in the Pacific Division) at United Center on Friday, December 6, 2019. Golden State opens this matchup as 6.5 point underdogs. The over/under opens at 214.5.

The Warriors are covering 43.5% of the time, having gone 10-13-0 ATS. Chicago is covering the spread 45.5% of the time, going 10-12-0 against the spread.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

12/4/2019 Jacob Evans SG Hip Game Time Decision
12/4/2019 Damion Lee SG Hand Expected to be out until at least Dec 10
11/12/2019 Stephen Curry PG Hand Expected to be out until at least Mar 5
10/22/2019 Klay Thompson SG Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Key Chicago Bulls Injuries

12/4/2019 Chandler Hutchison SF Shoulder Game Time Decision
12/2/2019 Jr SF Foot Expected to be out until at least Dec 9
11/12/2019 Cristiano Felicio PF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Dec 21

Player Spotlight

Eric Paschall comes into this game averaging 17.3 points per contest while playing 31.9 minutes per night this year. He grabs 5.5 rebounds per contest and distributes 1.8 assists per game. His FG percentage is 51% while his free throw percentage is 81%. Alec Burks averages 15.0 points per contest in 29.2 minutes per game. He averages 2.8 assists per game and 4.4 rebounds per contest. His field goal percentage is 41% for the season while his free throw percentage is 88%.

Player Spotlight

Zach Lavine scores 22.5 points per contest while playing 32.3 minutes per game. He hauls in 4.0 rebounds per contest and has 3.9 assists per game on the season. His FG percentage is 44% and his free throw percentage is at 81%. Lauri Markkanen averages 13.6 points per game this year and he sees the court an average of 29.5 minutes per game. He also brings in 6.9 rebounds per game and has 1.7 assists per contest. His field goal percentage is 36% and his free throw percentage is 81%.

Useful Team Statistics

Golden State averages 104.9 points per contest, which is 27th in the league. Their average scoring margin is -9.8 and their shooting percentage is 43% as a unit, which has them ranked 28th. From 3-point territory they shoot 33%, which is good for 29th in the NBA. They average 43.3 boards per contest and 23.8 assists per game, which ranks them 23rd and 17th in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they are 20th with 14.7 per game. The Warriors allow 114.7 points per contest, which is 22nd in the NBA. They also surrender a 48% shooting percentage and a 40% average from 3-point range, ranking them 27th and 30th in defensive field goal percentage. Opponents average 46.0 rebounds a game which ranks 20th, and they allow 25.9 assists per game which puts them in 25th place in the league. They force 15.6 turnovers per game which ranks them 20th in the NBA.

Useful Team Statistics

Chicago is 22nd in the NBA with 106.4 points per contest this season. They are 29th in the league in shooting at 43%, while their average scoring margin is -3.23. They shoot 35% from beyond the arc, which is good for 22nd in the league. They are 22nd in the NBA in rebounding with 43.8 boards per contest and 23rd in assists per game with 22.8. The Bulls are 12th in turnovers per contest with 15.7. The Bulls give up 109.6 points per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. Their defense surrenders a 46% shooting percentage and a 33% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 18th and 3rd in those defensive statistics. They rank 19th with 24.6 dimes allowed per game and 29th with 48.6 boards surrendered per contest. The Bulls are 30th in the league in forcing turnovers with 18.3 per contest this year.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 28th in the league in defensive rating with 114, and their offensive rating of 104.2 is ranked 28th. They are 19th in the NBA in pace with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 48% is 30th. As a unit they are 29th in the league in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 28th in the NBA. Golden State is 19th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.9 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 55%, which is 4th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Chicago is 11th in the NBA in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 13.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 15.8 on the defensive end. Their defensive effective field goal percentage for the season currently is 52%, which is 14th in the league. The Bulls are 29th in the NBA in offensive rating with 104, and their defensive rating of 107.2 is ranked 12th. In terms of pace they are 10th in the league with 102.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their effective field goal percentage of 49% is 27th. As a team they are 26th in the NBA in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 40% of their shots, ranking 11th in the league.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Bulls NBA game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Chicago -6.5

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