Golden State Warriors at Toronto Raptors NBA Finals Game 1 Picks 5/30/2019

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Scotiabank Arena

Get todays NBA odds and lines on this game.

Kawhi Leonard and the Toronto Raptors host the Golden State Warriors at Scotiabank Arena on Thursday in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. The Raptors finished off the Bucks in 6 games while the Warriors swept Portland in the Western Conference Finals. Golden State opens Game 1 as 1.5 point road favorites. The total is set at 215.

The Warriors have been strong for Vegas oddsmakers this year, having gone 42-54-2 ATS. Toronto is covering 47.5% of the time, going 47-52-1 against the spread. The Warriors have been a bad pick for NBA bettors as the favorite, going 36-49-2 ATS. The Raptors cover the spread 60.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 12-8-0 against the spread.

Valuable Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

The Warriors have been an inconsistent Over bet for O/U bettors, having gone 48-50-0.

The Warriors cover the spread 47.9% of the time on the road, having gone 23-25-1 ATS.

Important Toronto Raptors Betting Trends

Toronto is covering 49.0% of the time at Scotiabank Arena, going 25-26-0 against the spread.

The Raptors have been a pretty good Over bet for O/U bettors, having gone 52-47-1.

Key Golden State Warriors Injuries

5/21/2019 DeMarcus Cousins C Quadriceps Game Time Decision
5/21/2019 Andre Iguodala SG Calf Game Time Decision
5/21/2019 Kevin Durant SF Calf Game Time Decision

Key Toronto Raptors Injuries

5/22/2019 OG Anunoby SF Abdomen Expected to be out until at least May 30

Player Spotlight

Stephen Curry averages 27.3 points per game in 33.8 minutes per contest. He averages 5.2 assists per contest and 5.3 rebounds per game. His field goal percentage is 47% for the year while his free throw percentage is 92%. Klay Thompson comes into this contest averaging 21.5 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per night. He pulls down 3.8 rebounds per game and dishes out 2.4 assists per game as well. His field goal percentage is 47% while his free throw percentage is at 82%.

Player Spotlight

Marc Gasol averages 13.6 points per game and he sees the court an average of 30.8 minutes per contest. He also averages 7.9 rebounds per contest and 4.4 assists per game. His field goal percentage is 45% and his free throw percentage is 76%. Kawhi Leonard averages 26.6 points per game while playing 34.0 minutes per contest. He grabs 7.3 rebounds per game and has 3.3 assists per contest on the year. His field goal percentage is 50% and his free throw percentage is at 85%.

Useful Team Statistics

The Warriors allow 111.2 points per game to their opponents which ranks them 16th in the league. They also allow a 44% shooting percentage and a 35% average from behind the arc, ranking them 3rd and 11th in those defensive categories. Opponents average 44.3 rebounds a game which ranks 10th, and they give up 24.3 assists per contest which puts them in 12th place in the league. They force 13.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 12th in the league. Golden State averages 117.7 points per contest this season, which ranks them 2nd in the NBA. Their average scoring margin is 6.5 and their shooting percentage is 49% as a team, which has them ranked 1st. Behind the arc they shoot 39% which is good for 3rd in the league. They average 46.2 rebounds per game and 29.4 assists per contest, which ranks them 11th and 1st in those offensive categories. In the turnover department they rank 10th with 14.3 per game.

Useful Team Statistics

The Raptors surrender 108.4 points per contest, which ranks them 9th in the NBA. Their defense allows a 45% shooting percentage and a 35% average from 3-point range, ranking them 5th and 8th in those defensive statistics. They rank 15th with 24.5 assists allowed per contest, and 13th with 44.8 rebounds surrendered per game. The Raptors are 21st in the NBA in forcing turnovers with 14.9 per game. Toronto is 8th in the league with 114.4 points per game this year. They are 5th in the league in shooting at 47%, while their average scoring margin is 6.1. They shoot 37% from 3-point range, which is good for 6th in the NBA. They are 17th in the league in rebounding with 45.2 boards per game and 13th in assists per contest with 25.4. The Raptors are 15th in turnovers per game with 14.0.

Advanced Statistics

The Warriors are 1st in the league in defensive rating with 109.5, and their offensive rating of 115.9 is ranked 12th. They are 10th in the NBA in pace with 100.9 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 57% is 1st. As a unit they are 1st in the league in true shooting percentage with 60% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 8th in the NBA. Golden State is 13th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.6 times per 100 possessions while forcing 11.7 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 28th in the NBA.

Advanced Statistics

Toronto is 14th in the league in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 12.4 times per 100 possessions while forcing 13.1 on defense. Their defensive eFG% for the year currently is 51%, which is 27th in the NBA. The Raptors are 5th in the league in defensive rating with 107.1, and their offensive rating of 113.1 is ranked 5th. They are 14th in the NBA in pace with 100.2 possessions per 48 minutes, and their eFG% of 54% is 3rd. As a unit they are 4th in the league in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 38% of their shot attempts, ranking 10th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's Warriors/Raptors NBA game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Golden State +1.5

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